I'm picking Take the Points (30 to 1) to do better than expected, hopefully win, but at least in the top 3.
These 13 horses have run in 108 races and won 43. This is a field loaded with talent.
From the Racing Form: WynnLV did not sell a single ticket for Mine That Bird to win the Triple Crown ... they won every Triple Crown bet. The biggest LV Derby payout was $278,503.20 for the supertrifecta (2, 5, 7, 8, and 16) ... the guy that won always bets these 5 "lucky numbers".