> My estimate is that at least 90% of VP players are quite content to
> play non-fullpay machines. As a daily player, I see this every day,
> regardless of what casino I am in. I can only conclude that these
> players are just not aware of the paytables, which I guess is fine
for the rest of us.
On 6 May 2006 npf125 replied:
I can tell you that two years ago I played 9/5 DDB at the Mirage and
won plenty on six consecutive trips. And when I played 9/6 Jacks next
door at Caesars, I lost.
For most of us out-of-towners there is no long-term. We don't go back
to the casino the next day or next week when the variance "bit" us
because we don't live there.
So, you can consider us ignorant, or naive, or whatever you like. I
just know too many locals playing full-pays who have lost their
butts - and their life savings..
I am no worse off than they. And when I am lucky in the short term,
your full-pay machines are your own trap. When a machine is due, it
will pay. I'd take a short-term fluke over a long-term loss any day.
Your viewpoint is very similar to Rob Singer's - that a game's ER
isn't too important because no one plays enough to achieve "long
term" results, so the smart solution is to play games that allow the
exploitation of "short term" luck (use common sense strategies to
attain realistic "short term" goals and end your session when you do).
To each his/her own, but if you like money (and if your goal is to
make money), you would be well-advised to restrict your gambling
efforts to occasions where you have a positive edge. Sure, you can
lose when you have a positive edge and you can win when you don't,
but on average the higher the edge, the better the results.
Video poker is a game of probabilities. Whether you play very few or
millions of hands in your lifetime, your expectation is a function of
the ER of the games you play, modified by the strategy you use.
Limited, undocumented, anecdotal evidence and assertions don't/can't
overcome or disprove the mathematics.
vpFREE Administrator
"There are many areas of life where people can differ
in their beliefs and still have a great chance of success.
Mathematics is not one of them ..." - Cogno Scienti