Wizard of odds Probability of ruin

[Dan2]

Dunbar wrote:

I'm directly responsible for the fact that that section of the Wizard
of Odds' site is "closed for repairs". About 6 months ago, while I was
working on Dunbar's Risk Analyzer for Video Poker, I noticed an
internal inconsistency in the Wizard's RoR/Bankroll tables for multi-
line play. I wrote to him about it, he agreed with my observations,
and that part of the site has been shut down ever since.

The next issue of Video Poker Times will have an article on Risk of Ruin for multi-line games using a Monte Carlo simulation. There will be tables for 9/6 JoB for single line, 3-line, 5-line and 10-line. I have been using simulations to give comparison values for game analyzers since 1992. It will be interesting to see how closely Dunbar's analyzer agrees with the simulation. The succeeding issues will have similar articles for multi-line Double Bonus and NSUD games.

Dan

···

--
Dan Paymar
Author of best selling book, "Video Poker - Optimum Play"
Editor/Publisher of VP newsletter "Video Poker Times"
Developer of VP analysis/trainer software "Optimum Video Poker"
Visit my web site at www.OptimumPlay.com

"Chance favors the prepared mind." -- Louis Pasteur

[Dunbar]

Dunbar wrote:
>I'm directly responsible for the fact that that section of the

Wizard

>of Odds' site is "closed for repairs". About 6 months ago, while

I was

>working on Dunbar's Risk Analyzer for Video Poker, I noticed an
>internal inconsistency in the Wizard's RoR/Bankroll tables for

multi-

>line play. I wrote to him about it, he agreed with my

observations,

>and that part of the site has been shut down ever since.

The next issue of Video Poker Times will have an article on Risk

of

Ruin for multi-line games using a Monte Carlo simulation. There

will

be tables for 9/6 JoB for single line, 3-line, 5-line and 10-line.

I

have been using simulations to give comparison values for game
analyzers since 1992. It will be interesting to see how closely
Dunbar's analyzer agrees with the simulation. The succeeding

issues

will have similar articles for multi-line Double Bonus and NSUD

games.

Dan

Dan, I won't be able to check your simulation using Dunbar's Risk
Analyzer for Video Poker. DRA-VP doesn't do RoR for multi-line
games. The reason I was able to tell the Wizard's multi-line tables
were wrong was because they were internally inconsistent. Namely,
the bankroll requirement for a single line Double Bonus was greater
than the bankroll requirement for a 3-line game in the same
denomination. Interestingly, these tables were up for several years
with no one noticing what was pretty obvious.

--Dunbar

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Dan Paymar <Dan@...> wrote: