Which Game Would you Play?

[marksalot300]

Hello, toonces!

I'm probably going after the 20K play because it is likely to get the host's
attention to a higher degree, possibly earning greater perks. In addition,
the variance in the 10K play is actually over twice what it is in the 20K
play.

There's quite a few variables which also need to be considered. For
instance, the actual game vs. denom level, as it pertains to W2G events. If either
of these games are on a $5 machine and the game is DB, then you'll have to
deal with the annoyance of a W2G every time you hit any quad or better. For
BP, the only quad which becomes a W2G event is aces. If it's JoB, W2G's will
only happen on straight flushes or royals. Depends on your tolerance for such
B.S., the casino's speed in generating the form, and whether you have a
neighboring machine to play while waiting.

Can't wait for Harry's answer to this one....

- Brian in MI

···

_____________________________________________

tooncestdc writes:

Which of these 2 games would you play?

Game 1 Game 2
Player Advantage 0.2% 0.4%
Return/Hour $40 $40
$ Played/hour $20,000 $10,000
SD/hour $3,000 $3,500

So, given the same return, would you rather play a game with a bigger
player advantage per hand or a game with a lower variance and more cash
through the machine?

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[Harry_Porter]

Marksalot300 wrote:

Hello, toonces!

I'm probably going after the 20K play because it is likely to get
the host's attention to a higher degree, possibly earning greater
perks. In addition, the variance in the 10K play is actually over
twice what it is in the 20K play.

There's quite a few variables which also need to be considered.
For instance, the actual game vs. denom level, as it pertains to
W2G events. If either of these games are on a $5 machine and the
game is DB, then you'll have to deal with the annoyance of a W2G
every time you hit any quad or better. For BP, the only quad
which becomes a W2G event is aces. If it's JoB, W2G's will only
happen on straight flushes or royals. Depends on your tolerance
for such B.S., the casino's speed in generating the form, and
whether you have a neighboring machine to play while waiting.

Can't wait for Harry's answer to this one....

- Brian in MI
_____________________________________________

tooncestdc writes:

Which of these 2 games would you play?

Game 1 Game 2
Player Advantage 0.2% 0.4%
Return/Hour $40 $40
$ Played/hour $20,000 $10,000
SD/hour $3,000 $3,500

So, given the same return, would you rather play a game with a
bigger player advantage per hand or a game with a lower variance
and more cash through the machine?

Goading me to reply, Brian?

On first reading, my thought was "insufficient information" (and was
going to take a "pass" on this one. Additional factors would drive my
choice.

Similar to you, in most cases I'd go with the greater coin-in, since
where I play that tends to drive peripheral offers as well as assist
in achieving tier status.

But I've seen instances where, hypothetically, the $10K/hr coin-in
play might be valued by the casino at twice the hourly value (or even
higher) of playing the $20K/hr, based on relative theos assigned.
Such a scenario might change my pick.

Outside of those considerations, I value bankroll preservation. As
NOTI indicates, calculations such as the Sharp ratio and certainty
equivalence (CE) provide a means by which to evaluate alternative
wager propositions for optimality.

I'm on relatively weak footing here, but I believe in this case that
because the player EV is identical for the two plays, things simplify
to where the game with smallest bankroll requirement is superior (all
other things, those aside from those driving that bankroll
requirement, being equal).

I'm going to guess that the higher ER of the $10K play is sufficient
to compensate for the higher absolute $ SD and that the $10K play has
the lower bankroll requirement ... in which case that would be my
choice under this criteria. But that's little better than a guess
without hard paytable info.

- H.