That's the probability of NOT hitting at least one Royal in one cycle. One
or more hits in one cycle is a 63% chance.
Brian
···
=====================================
In a message dated 1/15/2006 1:00:59 AM Pacific Standard Time,
cognoscienti@gmail.com writes:
<<Are there any other experienced pros here who are doubting this
"reasonable expectation of a royal" after 5000 base plays?>>
Well, I don't doubt the math, and the expectation of hitting at least one
royal in a cycle's worth of trials is about 37% in each case.
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]