Using round numbers. We're playing 10-play 9/6 JOB.
Dealt Royal cycle is 650,000 base hands, so using that number for the
calculation.
One dealt Royal yields one hand with nine "extra" or "clumped" Royals.
Dealt RF4 cycle is 2700 base hands. About one out of 50 of these will hit
for two Royals, or once in 2700 * 50 = 135,000 base hands. So, playing our
dealt Royal cycle number of hands, this will happen 650,000 / 135,000 = five
times. This gives us five more "extra" or "clumped" Royals.
Three though nine Royals in one hand at 10-play is rare enough that I am
ignoring it.
So, nine "extra" plus five "extra" gives 14 "extra" Royals for 650,000 dealt
hands. The Royal cycle for this game is 40,391, so 650,000 * 10 hands
"should" yield 650,000 * 10 / 40,391 = 161 total Royals. But 14 of these are
"clumped," according to the above calculation, so that leaves 147 dealt hands
containing one or more Royals. Finally, 650,000 / 147 = 4420. So, one out of 4420
dealt hands will contain one or more Royals.
I therefore disagree with your (Kelso's) statement, and agree with Dunbar's.
Brian
ยทยทยท
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In a message dated 1/14/2006 4:48:52 AM Pacific Standard Time,
kelso1600@hotmail.com writes:
Not when you consider that those 50,000 hands derive from 5000 base
hands.
Jean, Queru's statement seems reasonable to me. If someone plays 10-
play for 10 hours at 500 plays/hr, that's 50,000 hands of video
poker. That's enough to "reasonably expect to hit a royal" in most
games. Of course, we've all been disappointed more than we'd like!--Dunbar
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