I found it perplexing that one would only play on full pay machines yet
patronize venues which have drastically reduced their full pay
inventories.
Don't you think this sends the wrong message to casino
management?
I think the idea of abandoning a casino because they modify
their inventory is not practical. If a casino remains a strong
play, then why not continue to patronize it. Of course, you
can simultaniously bad mouth it to all your friends and take
your out of town friends elsewhere. These might have a negative
impact on the bottom line of the offending casino.
When I used to play the Suncoast, my EV was approximately $140 a
mnoth. I doubt they had more than 100 people who were doing the
same thing. Of course, some of them probably played there a lot
even though the ER drops after 10K coin in (from ceiling on
mailers). So, let's say the SC lost $25,000 a month to skilled
players.
BTW, I am only talking FPDW in quarters. The $1 and especially
$2 DB was a much stronger opportunity with double points and
those games probably got most of their action from pros. I think
the removal of $2 DB was inevitable and logical. Even the dollar
DB might have been too good to leave in, depending upon the
volume of unskilled play seen on those machines.
Of course, half these players probably piss off a large chunck
of change in the sports book, at the craps table, playing bingo,
etc. I would not be surprised at all if the casino won back most
or all of that loss from this action. Many skilled players are
lured into bad games where the house ER is well over 100%. Even
if these players do wind up with a net win after their 'leaks',
we should consider the business from spouses, friends and relatives
that comes in the door ONLY because the FPDW drew the skilled
players. We all know the concept of a loss leader. Perhaps the
coast properties need to be reminded. It seems almost certain
that the additional action from unskilled players would easily
cover the rest of the money and probably quite a bit more.
I do think that it is also a good idea to make sure that we inform
the public of the downgrading. Ideally, the masses will learn
that these properties have removed their best machines. They
won't know what that means, but they will know it is bad. One
unskilled player who decides he'd rather donate to the Rampart
will cost the casino as much as 5-10 skilled players will extract.
In particular, we must hope to convince players to avoid the NSUD
games currently offered. If a high percentage of the unskilled
FPDW players just keep playing, we are hosed. The NSUD game
is going to provide more than 1% better return for the house,
since not only is the ER about 1% lower, the semi skilled
players will make more large errors on it, such as breaking 2
pair and keeping a pair over a 4 flush.
I have seen some evidence that the public is not at all eager
to play bad games that replace good ones. I visit ACW
frequently. They have recently downgraded their FPDW nickel
games and their 10/7 DB quarter progressive. Both of those
banks of machines used to be very busy at all times. This is
no longer true. Both banks get very light play now. I do
not think either of these games was getting heavy skilled
play. They probably made a decent profit and certainly drew
crowds. Now they have a higher ER, but the volume is weak.
I would be surprised to hear that the new machines are making
more money.
I belive it is an excellent idea to direct all your friends
and visiting relatives elsewhere. Many of these players are
not skilled. If you have some free rooms available, go ahead
and use them, but encourage your guests to go somewhere else
to gamble. In fact, I would make it a condition of the free
room. The only way we can hope to hurt their bottom line
is to erode the part of the customer base they want, the
uninformed.
QZ