Using Stanford Wong's VPEXACT I get about 93.669% counting the nine bonus hands as part of the hand that generated the bonus. I assume that there is no second bonus for getting three threes a second time and I did not count four threes. If you do count four threes as getting the bonus this raises it to 94.005%. Wong's program does not show the frequency of three threes but does for four threes but counting the nine hands as normal hands since you have to pay for them would add about 1/2% to the payback. THIS IS STILL A TOTAL SUCKER GAME!!!
ยทยทยท
----- Original Message -----
From: neilemb
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Sent: 9/11/2003 11:01:49 AM
Subject: [vpFREE] Triple Action Poker
This is a game that has appeared at Casino Rama, where my wife and I
have been playing recently. My gut feeling is that it is not worth
playing, but I am unable to do all the math needed to confirm that
feeling. I'll give all the details here, to see if anyone wants to
try and analyse the game.
It is on IGT machines, supposedly for quarters. However, you must
play for 20 credits to get the full 800 for 1 royal flush payoff,
making it, in essence, a dollar machine. On that basis, the pay scale
is as follows:
royal flush 4000
straight flush 400
4 aces 400
4 2's, 3's, 4's 200
4 5's thru K's 125
full house 40
flush 25
straight 20
3 of a kind 15
2 pair 5
pr jacks or better 5
This appears to be a brutally downgraded version of bonus poker, with
an E.R. of 86.647%.
But, there is an upside. If your completed hand contains 3 threes,
you play the next nine hands at triple the above pay scale. The E.R
for these nine hands increases to 259.94%.
It appears to me that one would have to play about 7.5% of their
hands at the triple pay scale to produce a weighted E.R. in the order
of 99.6%, an E.R. I could live with. This suggests that one would
have to have those elusive 3 threes about once every 110 hands. I
don't think this is a realistic expectation, but I don't have the
math tools to prove it.
Does anyone want to try and figure this one out?
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