--- In vpFREE_Canada@yahoogroups.com, "djmcosmo" <djmcosmo@y...>
wrote:
The paytable for Triple Action Poker is as follows (per coin):
RF 800
SF 80
Four Aces 80
Four 2's, 3s', 4's 40
Four 5's through K's 25
Full House 8
Flush 5
Straight 4
Three of a Kind 3
Two Pair 1
Jacks or Better 1
Payback: 86.6471%
Note that it takes 20 coins for a full Royal Flush payout.
Further analysis of this game will follow.
I'll be very interested in seeing what you conclude. I couldn't,
with my limited computer skills, come up with a mathematically sound
analysis.
My main thought was that in order to achieve an expected return equal
to 9/6 JOB, you will have to play about 9 hands out of every 121 at
the triple payout level. I could not establish the actual
probability of ending up with three threes in a hand to determine the
true expected value of the game.
I have simulated the game on my computer at home, by playing to that
payscale, keeping track of the nine hands played after finishing with
the three threes in a hand, and adjusting my final results
accordingly. My playing strategy has been adjusted to reflect my
perception of the value of playing nine hands at triple pay, so I
draw to single threes and pairs of threes a lot more than dictated by
conventional strategy.
Short term results, we know, don't really mean much. That said, I can
say that I've played about 7505 hands, and played with triple payouts
54 times, which works out to once every 139 hands, amd an expected
return of about 97.8%. I'm down 3521 credits.
I can't see how the casino isn't making tons of money on this game.
Probably 95% of the people I've watched playing it do not play full
coin, so their base return is in the 84% range. In addition, most do
not come close to playing the hands with a reasonable strategy.
Neil