vpFREE2 Forums

Tax Time

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "rockofjello333" <rockofjello333@y...>
wrote:

Have you ever, or has anyone ever, seen Gaming officials march into
a casino, seize a machine or bank of machines, and take them away
for inspection? Or conduct any kind of unannounced audit or
inspection? This would be the only way to validate that the

machines ON THE FLOOR, RIGHT NOW, are fair and random as they're
supposed to be. So why isn't this done?

How do you know this isn't being done? Do you expect them to walk
around with NGCC printed in big letters on their shirts, like FBI or
ATF agents? I've no doubt NGCC gets plenty of letters from
disgruntled gamblers convinced a machine is rigged ... and check some
of them out (like they did American Coin). I think our best
protection against casino cheating is the stakes are too high if they
get caught. Casinos are big money makers because there are so many
unskilled and undisciplined gamblers. They have to cheat. Most
people come to LV to have fun, and don't care if they lose something
gambling. These people get upset only if they lose more than they
can afford to lose.

hey, that could be a new show, like csi-vegas but instead ngc
enforcement
(wonder if andy griffith is available?)
but seriously, they do exist, they even have phone numbers:
http://gaming.nv.gov/enf_main.htm
got a complaint? who ya gonna call?

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "rockofjello333"

<rockofjello333@y...>

wrote:
> Have you ever, or has anyone ever, seen Gaming officials march

into

> a casino, seize a machine or bank of machines, and take them away
> for inspection? Or conduct any kind of unannounced audit or
> inspection? This would be the only way to validate that the
machines ON THE FLOOR, RIGHT NOW, are fair and random as they're
supposed to be. So why isn't this done?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
How do you know this isn't being done? Do you expect them to walk
around with NGCC printed in big letters on their shirts, like FBI

or

ATF agents? I've no doubt NGCC gets plenty of letters from
disgruntled gamblers convinced a machine is rigged ... and check

some

of them out (like they did American Coin). I think our best
protection against casino cheating is the stakes are too high if

they

get caught. Casinos are big money makers because there are so many
unskilled and undisciplined gamblers. They have to cheat. Most
people come to LV to have fun, and don't care if they lose

something

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "brumar_lv" <brumar_lv@y...> wrote:

gambling. These people get upset only if they lose more than they
can afford to lose.

rockofjello333 wrote:

The Nevada GCC does not actually engage in any enforcement activities
against the casinos whatsoever. There is no oversight and no actual
regulation.

So, let me capsulize your many posts on this subject:

Casinos cheat. The state's never gonna catch 'em at it.
But you, with infinite wisdom, judgement, acumen and discernment will
continue to play because you're never going to be playing these gaffed
machines to an extent that significantly impairs your play results.

Sorry to be rude, but get off it, will ya?

- H.

I have long believed Missouri has the toughest gaming commission in

the U.S.

Yes, tougher even than Nevada's. Not being a gaming law expert,

there's a

good chance I'm speaking out of ignorance. But here's an example of

what

I'm talking about: The Ameristar in St. Charles is being fined $200,000
because a computer glitch caused some of their progressive jackpots

to rise

at a slower rate then they were supposed to. A link to the story

(KC Star)

is below, but here's the gist of it:

a) No customer complained. It was the casino that reported the

problem to

the commission after they did an internal audit.
b) The casino does not advertise the rate at which progressive

jackpots are

supposed to rise.
c) Customers who hit a jackpot got the amount displayed on their

machine.

d) Auditing software is available to catch these mistakes more

quickly, but

there is no law in MO that says a casino has to use it.

Yet they are being fined $200,000 anyway in addition to having to

add the

"missing" money to future progressive jackpots.

Does anyone know if the Nevada gaming commission ever done anything like
this? Are they this strict (some might say "unreasonable")?

http://tinyurl.com/44b7k

carlos

I know it is rude and crude of me to get back on the subject but this
incident with the MO Gaming Commission is not the worst. A few years
ago they hit Station Kansas City with $1 million fine. I don't
remember the exact details but there was a dispute and the CEO of
Station would not come to Missouri in person to meet with the
Commission but sent a representative and a company lawyer instead.
The Commission considered it an insult and slapped them with this huge
fine. At that point Station in effect said they didn't need this crap
and pulled out of Missouri, selling their casinos to Ameristar. In
fact they got rid of all their non-Nevada holdings and now concentrate
on Las Vegas.

Rick

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Carlos Lebron" <calebr0n@y...> wrote:

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Harry Porter" <harry.porter@v...>
wrote:

rockofjello333 wrote:
> The Nevada GCC does not actually engage in any enforcement

activities

> against the casinos whatsoever. There is no oversight and no

actual

> regulation.

So, let me capsulize your many posts on this subject:

Casinos cheat. The state's never gonna catch 'em at it.

True. Well stated. You're on a roll so far.

But you, with infinite wisdom, judgement, acumen and discernment

You slip a bit here. My wisdom, judgement, acumen, and discernment
are merely gigantic; they are, however, finite.

will

continue to play because you're never going to be playing these

gaffed

machines

The casinos I strongly suspect of altering machines, I don't set
foot in any more. There are three casinos I feel RELATIVELY safe to
play in, and my results at those three casinos have been very close
to the norm, so I rarely play anywhere but those three casinos.

to an extent that significantly impairs your play results.

Very well put. I go by long-term results. My play is a constant so
the variable is the EV of the particular play. If an expected result
CONSISTENTLY falls below a theoretical result, then either 1) I am
increasingly unlucky as the negative results accumulate or 2) There
is something "strange" about the machine(s). In either case I feel
that it is a good idea to stay away from that particular play.

I know quite a few avid VP players who think just the opposite way,
and will pound their heads against a figurative brick wall until
they're bloody. Their choice.

Sorry to be rude, but get off it, will ya?

If you were truly sorry to have been rude, you would have stopped as
you typed the above line, reconsidered, and gone back and rewritten
your post, this time omitting the heavy-handed sarcasm and insulting
language. The fact that you didn't means that "sorry to be rude"
isn't an apology, but rather, a hypocritical attempt to salve your
conscience at being crass and obnoxious, which is not your usual
persona.

I suppose the person who apologizes as he throws mud in my face is
an improvement over the one who laughs, but I don't relish the
dinstinction all that much. As I told BC in an earlier post, you
stand very very very little chance of changing my point of view
(even with your subtle, understated eloquence) or my inclination,
ability, or right to express it. So it appears you have only these
alternatives:

1. Disagree with me in a civil manner.
2. Keep flaming me until Tom bars you.
3. Rather than flame me after you read one of my controversial
posts, hold your breath until you turn blue and faint; repeat as
necessary.
4. Don't read my posts at all (the prophylactic solution).

In response to my post of:

> (You) will continue to play because you're never going to be
> playing these gaffed machines

rockofjello333 wrote:

The casinos I strongly suspect of altering machines, I don't set
foot in any more. There are three casinos I feel RELATIVELY safe to
play in, and my results at those three casinos have been very close
to the norm, so I rarely play anywhere but those three casinos.

If your intent is to be constructive it would be of great benefit if
you would name the 3 casinos which you deem reasonable safe. (If you
have done so previously, then forgive the oversight on my part.)

> to an extent that significantly impairs your play results.

Very well put. I go by long-term results. My play is a constant so
the variable is the EV of the particular play. If an expected result
CONSISTENTLY falls below a theoretical result, then either 1) I am
increasingly unlucky as the negative results accumulate or 2) There
is something "strange" about the machine(s). In either case I feel
that it is a good idea to stay away from that particular play.

You might also raise a red flag about those casinos for which you have
the greatest concern.

> Sorry to be rude, but get off it, will ya?

If you were truly sorry to have been rude, you would have stopped as
you typed the above line, reconsidered, and gone back and rewritten
your post, this time omitting the heavy-handed sarcasm and insulting
language. The fact that you didn't means that "sorry to be rude"
isn't an apology, but rather, a hypocritical attempt to salve your
conscience at being crass and obnoxious, which is not your usual
persona.

Well, I'm gratified that you think this is an exception to my usual
style. My use of the word "sorry" was a bit of a short cut. It would
have been more accurate for me to say, "I regret that I feel compelled
to be rudely blunt". You're absolutely right; no apology was intended.

As I told BC in an earlier post, you stand very very very little
chance of changing my point of view (even with your subtle,
understated eloquence) or my inclination, ability, or right to
express it. So it appears you have only these alternatives:

1. Disagree with me in a civil manner.
2. Keep flaming me until Tom bars you.
3. Rather than flame me after you read one of my controversial
posts, hold your breath until you turn blue and faint; repeat as
necessary.
4. Don't read my posts at all (the prophylactic solution).

Even given my 10-word objectionable statement, I hope most feel that I
was still on the acceptable side of the flaming fence (even if I was
dangerously close to the line). I certainly don't look for Tom to
come anywhere near moderation of my posts.

That said, I've reconsidered the appropriateness of my post for myself
earlier today.

···

------

I think it should be clear from prior comments that I valued your
initial contributions since you've joined this forum, Rock. But I
personally find the continuing strains of "The Machines Are Gaffed"
tiresome and in poor taste.

Now, I'll fully admit, in most cases if I object to someone else's
posts I should just turn my back and ignore them. However, given the
extent of negative feedback this particular thread has generated I
can't help but put myself in your shoes. Were I the object of
considerable dispute from others who are at least reasonably
knowledgable (and I find your detractors to be that at minimum), I'd
be inclined to withdraw (back under my personal rock, if you will) and
contemplate what I might be overlooking that other's apparently see.
It's my habit to seek out a middle ground on which all parties can
come to at least modest agreement (and usually find it).

At minimum, if the discussion arrived at a dead end (as this one has),
I'd be satisfied early on that I'd made my point and wouldn't continue
to belabor the same argument over and over (no matter the replies from
others). There's certainly no further ground to cover.

------

This wouldn't appear to be the case with you.

Now, while I won't assert that the following definitely characterizes
you, I can't help but to have suspicions that it may. Whereas I would
be disconcerted in your shoes, there are some who wouldn't be
uncomfortable at all. In fact, they'd welcome any and all
disagreement -- the louder the better -- since it evidences that
they're sufficiently important and influential to get a rise out of
others.

But you know what? Anyone who objects to such a situation and yet
still engages in the discussion is as culpable and likely more so.
So, guess where that puts me?

Truth is that while I have enjoyed other posts, I have filtered out
your contributions since you actively engaged in this most recent
"machine fixing" discussion. But, I've continued to read all posts by
others whose contributions I do value and unwittingly got caught back
up into something you stated that, admittedly, got a "rise" out of me.

I'll be a lot more disciplined hereon out. Don't look for me to
comment again on this thread. I'll simply hope that others who
disagree with you on this subject will decide to let you have your say
and leave it at that.

- Harry

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Harry Porter" <harry.porter@v...>
wrote:

If your intent is to be constructive it would be of great benefit

if you would name the 3 casinos which you deem reasonable safe. (If
you have done so previously, then forgive the oversight on my part.)

I have already stated:
Palms
GVR
Fiesta Henderson (NOT Rancho)

You might also raise a red flag about those casinos for which you
the greatest concern.

To do so would simply invite more flaming from you or anyone else
who has an emotional attachment to the casino(s) I name. I kind of
doubt that anyone would stop playing at those casinos anyway, which
they shouldn't, if their results are decent.

Well, I'm gratified that you think this is an exception to my usual
style. My use of the word "sorry" was a bit of a short cut. It

would have been more accurate for me to say, "I regret that I feel
compelled to be rudely blunt". You're absolutely right; no apology
was intended.

At least you regret your compulsions. The next step is to learn not
to give in to them. Rudeness is self-indulgent and unnecesssary.

That said, I've reconsidered the appropriateness of my post for

myself earlier today.

I think it should be clear from prior comments that I valued your
initial contributions since you've joined this forum, Rock. But I
personally find the continuing strains of "The Machines Are Gaffed"
tiresome and in poor taste.

As long as we're restating things, I should reiterate that my point
of view actually is, "I strongly suspect that some of the VP
machines currently on casino floors are not random, and to change
the programs of VP machines to cause non-random results is much
easier, and far harder to detect, than most people think; therefore
the possibility of such tampering cannot be discounted and should be
at least considered when evaluating a long series of sub-par results
at a given casino." The tactic you use is as old as the hills, and
called "Reductio ad absurdum" (I reduce (it) to absurdity). By
oversimplfying someone's arguments you make them sound foolish. It's
like reducing the arguments of someone against our involvement in
Iraq to the statement, "War is bad."

I also feel that the issue is central to everything we say and do
here, as we all must make the ingoing assumption that we are being
given a fair game, or everything else we do is moot: we can blather
all we want about penalty cards and EV and ROR, but if we are
battling an American-Coin-like situation, we might as well all go
play roulette.

Now, I'll fully admit, in most cases if I object to someone else's
posts I should just turn my back and ignore them. However, given

the extent of negative feedback this particular thread has generated
I can't help but put myself in your shoes. Were I the object of

considerable dispute from others who are at least reasonably
knowledgable (and I find your detractors to be that at minimum),

I'd be inclined to withdraw (back under my personal rock, if you
will) and contemplate what I might be overlooking that other's
apparently see.

I feel just the reverse: that I am seeing that which most people
overlook. And negative feedback never has dissuaded me; in fact, in
my opinion, the likelihood of a given viewpoint on a controversial
subject being "correct" is INVERSELY proportional to the number of
people who hold that viewpoint. Not so long ago, only one person in
the world believed that the earth revolved around the sun, and he
was almost burned at the stake for expressing that belief.

It's my habit to seek out a middle ground on which all parties can
come to at least modest agreement (and usually find it).

At minimum, if the discussion arrived at a dead end (as this one

has),I'd be satisfied early on that I'd made my point and wouldn't
continue to belabor the same argument over and over (no matter the
replies from others). There's certainly no further ground to cover.

This wouldn't appear to be the case with you.

Kind of disingenuous to spend 2000 words to say that the argument is
closed and there's nothing left to say, isn't it?

Now, while I won't assert that the following definitely

characterizes you, I can't help but to have suspicions that it may.
Whereas I would be disconcerted in your shoes, there are some who
wouldn't be uncomfortable at all. In fact, they'd welcome any and
all disagreement -- the louder the better -- since it evidences that

they're sufficiently important and influential to get a rise out of
others.

If it was my primary--or tangential--goal to get a rise out of
others, I could certainly do it in much more effecient and egregious
fashion than I have so far.

But you know what? Anyone who objects to such a situation and yet
still engages in the discussion is as culpable and likely more so.
So, guess where that puts me?

Truth is that while I have enjoyed other posts, I have filtered out
your contributions since you actively engaged in this most recent
"machine fixing" discussion. But, I've continued to read all

posts by others whose contributions I do value and unwittingly got
caught back up into something you stated that, admittedly, got
a "rise" out of me.

I'll be a lot more disciplined hereon out. Don't look for me to
comment again on this thread. I'll simply hope that others who
disagree with you on this subject will decide to let you have your

say and leave it at that.

I greet the above news with relief. I have been and continue to be
puzzled at your somewhat blind faith in the goodness and integrity
of the casino industry. But to reiterate, your set of experiences
differs (radically) from mine. It's not surprising that our
viewpoints diverge.

Given that I consider the issue of casino cheating to be absolutely
central to what this board is all about, I will to continue to post
on this subject from time to time as I see fit. Only Tom Sim's
objections, not yours, would make me cease to do so. I'm sorry if
you don't like this subject or my posts thereon, but you know what?
A lot of people on this board post on subjects that I don't like,
and I don't reply or e-mail them about how sick I am of hearing them
talk about the subject in question.

Unapology accepted, Rock :wink:

- H.

Why must you always have the last word? Can you never withdraw gracefully?

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

Bill Coleman replied to "Rock"s post:

Why must you always have the last word? Can you never withdraw
gracefully?

HEY! I thought I grabbed the last word on that one! Don't rain on my
parade :wink:

- H.

I sure hope SOMEONE grabs the last word on this soon. It has become
soooooo old.
I must admit, I too am pretty tired of hearing about the possibility of
machines being rigged. I'm thinking if I felt that way, I certainly wouldn't
play ANY machines & would have no need to post on a forum such as this.

Liz

···

----- Original Message -----
From: "Harry Porter" <harry.porter@verizon.net>
To: <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Wednesday, December 08, 2004 2:02 PM
Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Unapology to Harry, and a clarification of my position
re nonrandomness

Bill Coleman replied to "Rock"s post:
> Why must you always have the last word? Can you never withdraw
> gracefully?

HEY! I thought I grabbed the last word on that one! Don't rain on my
parade :wink:

- H.

vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm

Yahoo! Groups Links

Why must you always have the last word? Can you never withdraw

gracefully?

Part of my reply was answers to specific questions (or stating that
I didn't care to provide an answer). The next part was a
clarification of my position on non-random VP machines, which had
been grossly misstated by Harry.

So I'll answer your specific questions right here as well:

No, I musn't, and the point of my most recent post wasn't to do so,
despite what you may be insinuating.

Yes, I can; I chose not to do so, foe reasons explained above.

I have afforded you the courtesy of a reply to what was perhaps a
rhetorical question. I'm not going to retort with a speculation on
YOUR argumentative style or YOUR personality; I don't feel I know
you well enough to say something judgmental like that--as you don't
know me.

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Bill Coleman <vphobby@c...> wrote:

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "rockofjello333" <rockofjello333@y...>
wrote:

I feel just the reverse: that I am seeing that which most people
overlook. And negative feedback never has dissuaded me; in fact, in
my opinion, the likelihood of a given viewpoint on a controversial
subject being "correct" is INVERSELY proportional to the number of
people who hold that viewpoint. Not so long ago, only one person in
the world believed that the earth revolved around the sun, and he
was almost burned at the stake for expressing that belief.

If negative feedback won't dissuade you, maybe some facts will.

First of all (and I'm sure I'll regret jumping into this), Galileo
was NOT almost burned at the stake. On June 16, 1633 Pope Urban VIII
presided over a meeting of the Holy Office of the Inquisition, a
committee setup to investigate his book Dialogue of Galileo Galilei.
The pope demanded that Galileo be interrogated(technically by torture
if necessary) to determine his "intent" in writing the book, demand
the book be censured (prohibited), and demand that Galileo
serve a prison term and perform penance. He was not tortured but did
sign a confession and served a prison term. Six days later, on June
22nd, his conviction was made public and he was jailed.

He spent the next few days in a Vatican dungeon until Cardinal
Barberini had him moved to the Tuscan embassy in Rome. On July 6th
(just 14 days after his conviction) Ascanio Piccolomini, the
archbishop of Siena, transfered Galileo to Siena (via the archbishops
personal litter to ensure his safety during the trip) to stay in a
guest apartment in the archbishops palace opposite the magnificant
cathedral in Siena (I was in the palace and cathedral 6 weeks ago).
Piccolomini enjoyed discussing science and math with Galileo.
Galileo, who was 70 when this happened, was publicly humililated but
was not "almost burned at the stake". Later, he created a new branch
of science, Mechanics, because he had agreed to avoid astronomy.

Second (and I have no way of proving this), if you polled everyone in
the US on the honesty of casinos the vast majority, I'm convinced,
would say they aren't honest. Only a few people think they are
honest and that's because they know how the laws of probabilty
actually work.

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "rockofjello333"

<rockofjello333@y...>

wrote:
> I feel just the reverse: that I am seeing that which most people
> overlook. And negative feedback never has dissuaded me; in fact,

in

> my opinion, the likelihood of a given viewpoint on a

controversial

> subject being "correct" is INVERSELY proportional to the number

of

> people who hold that viewpoint. Not so long ago, only one person

in

> the world believed that the earth revolved around the sun, and

he

> was almost burned at the stake for expressing that belief.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
If negative feedback won't dissuade you, maybe some facts will.

First of all (and I'm sure I'll regret jumping into this), Galileo
was NOT almost burned at the stake. On June 16, 1633 Pope Urban

VIII

presided over a meeting of the Holy Office of the Inquisition, a
committee setup to investigate his book Dialogue of Galileo

Galilei.

The pope demanded that Galileo be interrogated(technically by

torture

if necessary) to determine his "intent" in writing the book,

demand

the book be censured (prohibited), and demand that Galileo
serve a prison term and perform penance. He was not tortured but

did

sign a confession and served a prison term. Six days later, on

June

22nd, his conviction was made public and he was jailed.

He spent the next few days in a Vatican dungeon until Cardinal
Barberini had him moved to the Tuscan embassy in Rome. On July

6th

(just 14 days after his conviction) Ascanio Piccolomini, the
archbishop of Siena, transfered Galileo to Siena (via the

archbishops

personal litter to ensure his safety during the trip) to stay in a
guest apartment in the archbishops palace opposite the magnificant
cathedral in Siena (I was in the palace and cathedral 6 weeks

ago).

Piccolomini enjoyed discussing science and math with Galileo.
Galileo, who was 70 when this happened, was publicly humililated

but

was not "almost burned at the stake". Later, he created a new

branch

of science, Mechanics, because he had agreed to avoid astronomy.

1. I was actually referring to Copernicus.
2. I'm sure that whatever was planned for Galileo if he didn't
publicly repent was equivalent to being burned at the stake, in
terms of how much fun it would have been and of the end result.
However, for accuracy's sake, feel free to substute for "burned at
the stake", "tortured to death", or for that matter "tickled into
insanity by giant space hamsters". I don't see how that alters my
basic point.

Second (and I have no way of proving this), if you polled everyone

in

the US on the honesty of casinos the vast majority, I'm convinced,
would say they aren't honest. Only a few people think they are
honest and that's because they know how the laws of probabilty
actually work.

Up until about, say 1930 or so, EVERY casino/gaming
establishment/back-room crap table/etc didn't rely on the
mathematical edge of the games they were dealing; they enhanced it
by cheating. Casinos weren't happy then with a 1 or 2 percent edge;
that was too slow and allowed the unacceptable possibility of
someone WINNING. I think this is where the public perception stems
from today.

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "brumar_lv" <brumar_lv@y...> wrote:

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "rockofjello333" <rockofjello333@y...>
wrote:

Up until about, say 1930 or so, EVERY casino/gaming
establishment/back-room crap table/etc didn't rely on the
mathematical edge of the games they were dealing; they enhanced it
by cheating. Casinos weren't happy then with a 1 or 2 percent edge;
that was too slow and allowed the unacceptable possibility of
someone WINNING. I think this is where the public perception stems
from today.

Actually, I thought Meyer Lansky had a reputation for running a "fair
game" in Florida and thereabouts before Bugsy and Vegas, and found it
actually was good for business in the long run.

Hi there

My first thought, you make sense. But if we think about it, some of
these folks have good points. It's always worth discussion when
someone thinks something is wrong. Just simply saying don't play if
you think casinos are cheating is like a citizen saying don't put
your $$ in stock because brokers have been known to cheat. Sticking
our head in the sand is not the answer; open discussion is. If
something is up some might want to try and right things. You see,
casinos don't have this problem with slots. We don't know how many
spots there are on a slot reel. In vp we know there are 52 stops on a
deck, thus the problem.

As for myself, I am now tracking total games played, $$ in $$ out
(win-loss), royals made, 4 royals delt, 4 royals made and straight
flushes made. The most important figure is total play. If I were to
gaff a game, I would limit smaller hits. (I am NOT saying any games
are cheating nor would I do such if I were in the position to do so)
So total $$ in to $$ out minus expeced loss waiting for royal is what
I need most. Then decide if I am getting close to my share of royals.
Of course this info will do no good except in my mind and it's going
to take a year or more to even get wide ballpark info. What worries
me is we are hearing more people thinking something is wrong. You may
remember the old saying, "Where there is smoke there is fire." (or
something like that?)

Just a few thoughts and I'll sit back and read rest of these posts.

Have a good evening.........Whitejeeps
.
-- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Elizabeth E. Krempasky" <mslizrn@d...>
wrote:

  I sure hope SOMEONE grabs the last word on this soon. It has

become

soooooo old.
I must admit, I too am pretty tired of hearing about the

possibility of

machines being rigged. I'm thinking if I felt that way, I certainly

wouldn't

play ANY machines & would have no need to post on a forum such as

this.

···

I only think that the machines are rigged when I am losing. I tell my husband that the machines are cheating me and that I am going to call the gaming commission. This is a standing joke with us. I believe they are random. When I am losing badly eventually I am dealt a Wild Royal on 10 play nickels-$250, or I will be dealt a straight flush-10 of them. I recover my losses and it turns around-all random.

Myra

···

Second (and I have no way of proving this), if you polled everyone in
the US on the honesty of casinos the vast majority, I'm convinced,
would say they aren't honest. Only a few people think they are
honest and that's because they know how the laws of probabilty
actually work.

vpFREE Links: http://members.cox.net/vpfree/Links.htm

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Whitejeeps,

Several weeks ago there was a thread, Test of Randomness, where I
asked about checking the randomness below the royal.
Nightoftheiguana explained that you can add the variance for each
payoff below the royal and easily calculate your expected return for
each session of play if you know the number of hands played. If you
find your losses exceed the 2 standard deviation limit say 2 or 3 out
of 20 sessions instead of 2 or 3 out of 100 sessions I would become
quite suspicious.

I have found nothing unusual in my few sessions of All American at the
Kansas City Harrahs. What I learned from applying Iguana's
instructions is that the range of expected returns for AA is larger
than I thought.

I just got my 4th royal last week. Based on my play I probably have 2
more than expected. A royal is noticeable to the surrounding players
and a casino would have to almost stop all the royals to gain just an
additional 1%. If I went to a certain casino on a regular basis and
never saw anyone hit a royal I would be suspicious of that as well.

Anyone who keeps decent track of their play can easily check the
randomness of a machine below the royal and the mini jackpot level
(the straight flush on AA or the quad deuces for instance).

Chris

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "whitejeeps" <whitejeeps@y...> wrote:

Hi there

My first thought, you make sense. But if we think about it, some of
these folks have good points. It's always worth discussion when
someone thinks something is wrong. Just simply saying don't play if
you think casinos are cheating is like a citizen saying don't put
your $$ in stock because brokers have been known to cheat. Sticking
our head in the sand is not the answer; open discussion is. If
something is up some might want to try and right things. You see,
casinos don't have this problem with slots. We don't know how many
spots there are on a slot reel. In vp we know there are 52 stops on a
deck, thus the problem.

As for myself, I am now tracking total games played, $$ in $$ out
(win-loss), royals made, 4 royals delt, 4 royals made and straight
flushes made. The most important figure is total play. If I were to
gaff a game, I would limit smaller hits. (I am NOT saying any games
are cheating nor would I do such if I were in the position to do so)
So total $$ in to $$ out minus expeced loss waiting for royal is what
I need most. Then decide if I am getting close to my share of royals.

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "rockofjello333" <rockofjello333@y...>
wrote:

I was actually referring to Copernicus.

OK, we're having a little fun here, right! But please, read up on
Copernicus before you claim he was almost burned at the stake. His
theory wasn't even published until he was on his deathbed (a natural
death by the way). No, I'm sure you were referring to Galileo.

I think this is where the public perception (that casinos cheat)

stems from today.

That's what I said, that the average joe blow thinks casino cheat.
But your earlier post said most people believe that casinos don't
cheat, and you dared to disagree with the mainstream view. So what
do you believe?

What I think we can safely say is that none of us can prove
conclusively that casinos do or don't cheat, and none of us has a
clue whether the NGCC is doing its job. It's sort of like arguing
about which casino will have the next Megabucks winner ... not very
productive. Have a great holiday.

Please use a different subject heading in continuing this (or any
other) thread.

FWIW, in all earnestness and without ill-feeling toward anyone, I
regret initiating and continuing my portion of this thread -- in
particular all negativity associated with it. It's served no purpose
whatever.

I retract every word, truthfully. I can't undo what's been said, but
you can be assured I'll be ever mindful of the consequences of my
words and loathe to repeat such an incident.

- H.