vpFREE2 Forums

Statistics question ?

#1

In a message dated 10/6/2003 1:13:23 PM Pacific Standard Time,
elinzer@juno.com writes:
The odds of drawing the same card in triple play is 47 cubed, or
1 out of 103,823. It is more than twice as likely as getting dealt a RF,
which is about 1 out of a quarter of a million.
Sorry, incorrect both times.

At triple play, holding four cards, ANY first card drawn is okay. So you just
have to "match" it twice, which happens one time in 47 squared, or once in
2209 draws. If you SPECIFY the card in advance of the draw, then your number is
correct for drawing that particular card all three times.

The chances of being dealt a Royal in a 52 card deck game is one in 649,740.

Brian

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

#2

Yes, the odds of drawing the same card three times are 47 cubed, but
only prior to the first draw. After the first card, the odds of two
more are 47 squared. After the second draw, the odds of the third
card are 1/47, or the same as it would be in single line play.

In a message dated 10/6/2003 1:13:23 PM Pacific Standard Time,
elinzer@j... writes:
The odds of drawing the same card in triple play is 47 cubed, or
1 out of 103,823. It is more than twice as likely as getting dealt

a RF,

which is about 1 out of a quarter of a million.
Sorry, incorrect both times.

At triple play, holding four cards, ANY first card drawn is okay.

So you just

have to "match" it twice, which happens one time in 47 squared, or

once in

2209 draws. If you SPECIFY the card in advance of the draw, then

your number is

correct for drawing that particular card all three times.

The chances of being dealt a Royal in a 52 card deck game is one in

649,740.

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, BJayGold@a... wrote:

Brian

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

#3

It's 50/50. It either happens, or it doesn't! <G> All kidding aside, the first draw should be disregarded and the resulting 47 squared, 2209, are the odds of it happening. Large, but not all that unrealistic.

ADR

···

At 04:20 PM 10/6/2003, you wrote:

Yes, the odds of drawing the same card three times are 47 cubed, but
only prior to the first draw. After the first card, the odds of two
more are 47 squared. After the second draw, the odds of the third
card are 1/47, or the same as it would be in single line play.

#4

Yes, you guys are correct. The odds that Brian and I quoted are for
predicting that a specific card will turn up three times in a row. In
this case, you don't know what the card is until the first one is
drawn.

lb

... All kidding aside, the
first draw should be disregarded and the resulting 47 squared,

2209, are

···

the odds of it happening. Large, but not all that unrealistic.

ADR