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Re: Super Bowl bet question
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I think the average member of the public scratched their heads when the
Steelers opened as a 4 1/2 point favorite to win the Super Bowl. But a sportsbook
isn't trying to predict a winner of any game, just set a line that gets the
same amount of money bet on both sides.
The Steelers appear to be one of those teams that generates more bets, like
the Yankees. If they played the Cowboys instead of the "we just changed
conferences" Seahawks, this bias would not be a big factor.
The book wants to take their 2 1/2% of the total action with little risk. If
the line has to move to get more action on one side, the book starts facing
some risk.
Money lines in football only exist up to about point spreads of a touchdown
or less. +400 is about it betting on an underdog. People betting the favorite
don't want to lay much more than 1 to 4 odds.
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So what is the current line on Kolbie Bryant's point total vs. Total points
scored in the "Big Game" in the props bets?
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