vpFREE2 Forums

Spam Alert: RE: Re: 1 million hands at one game

On FPDW royals occur on the average once every 45,282 hands. Four deuces every 4,909 hands. Even though these are the average expectancies, the actual results can vary wildly. I do not play as much as some of the players in this users group but after I hit a royal on 1/15/2000, my next royal was more than 210,000 hands later on 6/23/2002. To show you how streaky the game can be, I hit a second royal an hour later. (Note: both royals on 6/23/2002 were on triple play NSU. The first was on a redeal.) I have played more this year (partly due to being unemployed) and have been very lucky on 25c NSU triple play having had six royals in about 80,000 hands. (Note: hands played on triple play counted as three hands.)

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----- Original Message -----
From: Richard Boston
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Sent: 7/15/2003 1:26:07 PM
Subject: Spam Alert: RE: [vpFREE] Re: 1 million hands at one game

This is good news and creates hope.

We're tired of being on the wrong side of the bell curve.

Been playing VP for about 5 years seriously and between 2 people we don't
have 10 royals.
Been playing FPDW for about 2 years and I can count on one hand how many
quad deuces I have. The wife has done better in that department.

Regardless of the game being positive or not, I think we're definitely on
the short end of the royal side and probably so on the deuces side too.

Can someone remind me the supposed frequency of the quad deuces in DW. Every
how many hands?

thanks
  -----Original Message-----
  From: Ednar [mailto:ed…@…com]
  Sent: Tuesday, July 15, 2003 11:01 AM
  To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
  Cc: Ginny Thorpe
  Subject: Re: [vpFREE] Re: 1 million hands at one game

  Richard. We have done this for five plus years. Up until this year we
  were still ahead for the five years. Then this year we crashed very
badly.
  At one point we were down about $12,000 playing mostly single line and
  triple play .25. But about $5,000 of the loss was from trying to move up
to
  dollars. We went back to quarters and playing only when positive with
cash
  back, etc. When we saw you in Las Vegas we were still down over $10,000
for
  the year. Over the past three weeks we have done okay and are now down
only
  about $7,000. I think there is hope. That is a $5,000 change from our
  worst point of the year. We are still not close to positive BUT it is
  progress. (Amazingly enough we are NOT winners on the over 100% games
but
  on the close to 100% games that go over 100% with cash back. Cash back is
  king....)

  ----- Original Message -----
  From: "Richard Boston" <rboston@objectd.com>
  To: <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>
  Sent: Tuesday, July 15, 2003 12:20 PM
  Subject: RE: [vpFREE] Re: 1 million hands at one game

  > You say the numbers work but that at certain points you were down
between
  8K
  > and 13K, right?
  > If so, how did you recoup your losses??
  >
  > Over the course of several years and several visits per year we are
  > EXTREMELY NEGATIVE.
  > For us to ever get positive it would require one heck of a positive trip
  or
  > a streak of positive trips that I just can't imagine.
  > Short term example:
  > June trip, down $600
  > July 4th trip, down another $1000 (no deuces, no royals, 1 quad aces
  on
  > DB)
  > July 11th trip, even (first even trip in a year - only due to 1 quad
  > deuce and 1 quad aces w/ kicker)
  >
  > We've had about 3 trips since January prior to these above with similar
  loss
  > patterns.
  > We probably average $500 loss per trip on gambling only, even at the .25
  > level playing between FPDW or FPDB or w/ CB and promos 100%+ JOB. With
at
  > least 10 trips per year that's a painful loss each year.
  > To recover that there would either have to be a $5000 positive trip or
  > perhaps 10 positive trips in the area of $500.
  >
  > Isn't it possible that if you start out too negative there's just no way
  to
  > recoup, even with streaks of positiveness. Think of the stock market…
  >
  > -----Original Message-----
  > From: kellypkjoe [mailto:kellypk…@…com]
  > Sent: Saturday, July 12, 2003 12:20 PM
  > To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
  > Subject: [vpFREE] Re: 1 million hands at one game
  >
  >
  > I play about 450,000 to 500,000 hands a year, Started playing FPDW in
  > early 1997 and have never had a losing year. Have never been below $8k
  and
  > $13K each year. This includes Cash back and Bounce Back, one double
  royal
  > in 24 hours and minor drawings (nothing over $250). I have never been
  down
  > as much as $1000. Yes the numbers work.
  >
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