vpFREE2 Forums

South Coast offer

Bob Dancer wrote:

Dan wrote: I wouldn't hold my breath looking for good video poker. After
all, it's a Coast casino. Maybe some 9/6 JoB and NSUD.

I, on the other hand, AM holding my breath looking for good video poker.
After all, it's a Coast casino and they very likely will have $25 NSU.
On double point days, that's a decent play.

I don't remember what the cash back rate is for the Coast slot club, but even if it's as high as 0.25%, doubled to 0.5%, then even with a $1,000,000 bankroll that Bob claims to have, the Risk of Ruin would be over 23%. But then Bob likes to "take a shot."

Dan

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--
Dan Paymar
Author of best selling book, "Video Poker - Optimum Play"
Editor/Publisher of VP newsletter "Video Poker Times"
Developer of VP analysis/trainer software "Optimum Video Poker"
Visit my web site at www.OptimumPlay.com

"Chance favors the prepared mind." -- Louis Pasteur

Another "Soap Opera" thing in the works??? (with NO ending?)
I guess this is a very similar thing with Microsoft and its
competitors. Many UNIX, Delphi, and other non-Microsoft people could
not believe that a neird-o type guy like Bill Gates can be this
successful so almost all of them hated Bill due mainly on jealousy or
they envy the guy so much that they do anything they can to put
Microsoft down. Is this really the case here?
Bob made a million or so in Video Poker, wrote a book about it, Dan
does not believe it, when Bob says this, Dan says that.....
Stay tuned for the next episode of "Days of Their Lives"...

Bob Dancer wrote:
>Dan wrote: I wouldn't hold my breath looking for good video poker.

After

>all, it's a Coast casino. Maybe some 9/6 JoB and NSUD.
>
>I, on the other hand, AM holding my breath looking for good video

poker.

>After all, it's a Coast casino and they very likely will have $25

NSU.

>On double point days, that's a decent play.

I don't remember what the cash back rate is for the Coast slot

club,

but even if it's as high as 0.25%, doubled to 0.5%, then even with

a

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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Dan Paymar <Dan@O...> wrote:

$1,000,000 bankroll that Bob claims to have, the Risk of Ruin would
be over 23%. But then Bob likes to "take a shot."

Dan

--
Dan Paymar
Author of best selling book, "Video Poker - Optimum Play"
Editor/Publisher of VP newsletter "Video Poker Times"
Developer of VP analysis/trainer software "Optimum Video Poker"
Visit my web site at www.OptimumPlay.com

"Chance favors the prepared mind." -- Louis Pasteur

<<I don't remember what the cash back rate is for the Coast slot club, but
even if it's as high as 0.25%, doubled to 0.5%, then even with a $1,000,000
bankroll that Bob claims to have, the Risk of Ruin would be over 23%.>>

It's 0.3%, doubled to 0.6%. Are you sure your calculation is correct? It
seems unintuitive that there would be a 23% chance of being down 10 Royals
in an even slightly positive game.

Cogno

Dan wrote: I don't remember what the cash back rate is for the Coast
slot club,
but even if it's as high as 0.25%, doubled to 0.5%, then even with a
$1,000,000 bankroll that Bob claims to have, the Risk of Ruin would
be over 23%. But then Bob likes to "take a shot."

I'm not sure why Dan is allowed to make personal attacks on this forum.
Back when he was falsely denying he wrote that you should cut back to 1
coin in FPDW when things are going bad, his emails were filled with
personal attacks. He's at it again. I suggest he should either have his
posting rights revoked or have it explained to us why he isn't subject
to the same rules as others.

Why would he assume my bankroll was $1 million? He has no reason to
believe it is anywhere near that small. I did enter the parameters of
the game into the Dunbar Risk Analyzer (which Ira kindly sent me and I
recommend to others as a useful tool) and it gave a bankroll estimate of
$1.7 million for the game. Not a problem, although I'm not sure how far
down I could go before Shirley became Lorena Bobbitt!

Why would he say I like to "take a shot"? In my autobiography I
described fairly rigid rules for when I feel it's correct to take a pot
shot, and a 0.3% advantage doesn't come close to meeting those criteria.

Finally, a two-day a month promotion (which is approximately how
frequently Coast properties offer double points) is not subject to the
same bankroll parameters as a game you play every day. It is unlikely
these games will still be around in two years. Players who have
realistic goals of earning in excess of $100,000 per year have to get
while the getting is good.

Bob Dancer

For the best in video poker information, visit www.bobdancer.com
or call 1-800-244-2224 M-F 9-5 Pacific Time.

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

the chance of getting 90 or less royals (-1sd) when the expectation is
100 is roughly 16%, plus in this game you have to consider the deuces
mini-jackpot

<<I don't remember what the cash back rate is for the Coast slot

club, but

even if it's as high as 0.25%, doubled to 0.5%, then even with a

$1,000,000

bankroll that Bob claims to have, the Risk of Ruin would be over 23%.>>

It's 0.3%, doubled to 0.6%. Are you sure your calculation is correct? It
seems unintuitive that there would be a 23% chance of being down 10

Royals

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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Cogno Scienti" <cognoscienti@g...> wrote:

in an even slightly positive game.

Cogno