Can I please get some help here to improve my game evaluation skills?
I've found a Pennsylvania racino that has three separate quarter
progressive VP banks with 7/5 JOB, Colorado Deuces, 6/5 BP, 9/6/4 DB,
8/5 DDB, 7/7/7 USA Poker and 15/7 JW (Kings or Better).
I have BDPWP 5.0a (WINPOKER) software and a 1st generation Pentium
processor with a Windows95 operating system (SLOW!!!).
I have tried to calculate 8,000; 9000; 10,000; 11,000; and 12,000
coin jackpots but get an "error" message on at least one game per
jackpot level. Therefore, I cannot compare the increases for ALL the
games at each jackpot level across the board. (Winpoker 5.0 does not
print strategy cards or permit the creation of "user defined"
paytables for wildcard games.)
All of the games need to have a jackpot of at least $2000.00 to be
above 99% and $2,500.00 to be above 100%.
JOB and BP pay 2 to 1 for two pair.
Basic strategy for JOB and BP say hold the high pair over 3RF.
Basic strategy for AA is to hold high pair over A XX 10; Otherwise
hold 3RF.
In $0.25 8/5 DDB, hold the 3RF over AA above $1,656.00 jackpot level.
I suspect that a game in which the basic strategy is to hold three-to-
a-royal (3RF) over one or two pair increases the likelihood of
hitting the Royal in the quickest amount of time while a game that
pays double money for two pair may be slower to the Royal.
Given the time limitation (the jackpot resets after the RF is hit)
and strategy deviations, which is the best game to play at 100% or
better? One bank has 14 bartops and the meter seems to rise at the
rate of $50.00 per hour when all the chairs are full. The second and
third banks haves only eight linked VP machines each.
Which strategy to use ? Max EV or Min-Cost-Royal? (Best Shot Royal
strategy is single coin; therefore, not appropriate for a
Progressive, right?)
I suspect a part of the answer is that playing the fastest game you
can with the strategy and deviation points you know best (close to
perfect play) is more important than the EV of one game being .50%
more than another at the 12,000 coin jackpot level. (Especially if
the game with the higher ER is being played s-lo-w-l-y in an attempt
play each hand perfectly.)
I have yet to determine if the gap in the ER of the games is narrowed
as the jackpot increases.
96.87% - 6/5 BP
96.79% - 8/5 DDB
96.77% - Colorado Deuces
96.38% - 9/6/4 DB
96.38% -15/7 JW (Kings or Better)
96.27% - 7/7/7 USA Poker
96.15 %- 7/5 JOB
Any thoughts?