vpFREE2 Forums

Shockwave Analysis

Makes complete sense to me.
Same as Flush Attack, optimum strategy is not optimum strategy for
each paytable but optimum strategy for average paytable.

  It was brought to my attention that my analysis of Shockwave was

different

from the Wizard of Odds site. A few months ago this game was

discussed on

this board. I reviewed those posts and found that mine did not agree

with

them either. I would appreciate having someone critique my analysis.

I found that playing the base game using the strategy for the same

game with

an increased quad lowered the ER, but the shorter quad cycle

increased the

final ER. I concluded that adding 18.6426 to the quad produced the

highest

ER for the 12/8/5 pay schedule. Adding or subtracting from this

number on

other pay schedules added .004% or less so I stayed with one quad

number.

Here is my evaluation.

(#1) The base game for the 25/12/8/5 pay schedule has an ER of 95.2373%

(#2) Shockwave mode for the 800/12/8/5 pay schedule has an ER of

289.9961%

(#3) Game with 43.6426/12/8/5 pay schedule (25+18.6426 quad) has an

ER of

99.5115%.

Play game #1 using game #3 strategy.

Playing game #1 using strategy #3 has an ER of 95.2321% and a quad

cycle of

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "5-card" <5-card@c...> wrote:

435.622

Multiply ER * quad cycle

(95.2321 * 435.622) = 41485.1979

Add 41485.1979 + ER of Shockwave mode * 10.

41485.1979 + (289.9961*10) = 44385.1589

Divide 44385.1589 by quad cycle +10

44385.1589/(435.622+10) = 99.6027% ER

5-card

I finally looked at wizard of odds site, where he estimates the
expected number of hands in shockwave mode is 9.8836. This is the
flaw in the analysis below, you must subsitute 9.8836 for 10 in your
analysis, you will then get ev=99.553.

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "nightoftheiguana2000"
<nightoftheiguana2000@y...> wrote:

Makes complete sense to me.
Same as Flush Attack, optimum strategy is not optimum strategy for
each paytable but optimum strategy for average paytable.

> It was brought to my attention that my analysis of Shockwave was
different
> from the Wizard of Odds site. A few months ago this game was
discussed on
> this board. I reviewed those posts and found that mine did not

agree

with
> them either. I would appreciate having someone critique my

analysis.

>
> I found that playing the base game using the strategy for the same
game with
> an increased quad lowered the ER, but the shorter quad cycle
increased the
> final ER. I concluded that adding 18.6426 to the quad produced the
highest
> ER for the 12/8/5 pay schedule. Adding or subtracting from this
number on
> other pay schedules added .004% or less so I stayed with one quad
number.
>
>
>
> Here is my evaluation.
>
> (#1) The base game for the 25/12/8/5 pay schedule has an ER of

95.2373%

>
> (#2) Shockwave mode for the 800/12/8/5 pay schedule has an ER of
289.9961%
>
> (#3) Game with 43.6426/12/8/5 pay schedule (25+18.6426 quad) has

an

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "5-card" <5-card@c...> wrote:
ER of
> 99.5115%.
>
>
>
>
>
> Play game #1 using game #3 strategy.
>
> Playing game #1 using strategy #3 has an ER of 95.2321% and a quad
cycle of
> 435.622
>
>
>
> Multiply ER * quad cycle
>
> (95.2321 * 435.622) = 41485.1979
>
>
>
> Add 41485.1979 + ER of Shockwave mode * 10.
>
> 41485.1979 + (289.9961*10) = 44385.1589
>
>
>
> Divide 44385.1589 by quad cycle +10
>
> 44385.1589/(435.622+10) = 99.6027% ER
>
>
>
> 5-card

I looked at The Wizard of Odds site. This appears to be the difference in
our evaluation. I estimated that the number of games in shockwave mode was
9.99738. For brevity I used 10 because it only affected the third decimal
place in the final ER. Could someone explain how 9.8836 is reached? Using
optimum strategy for shockwave mode the quad cycle is 382.1705. I determined
that 1/382.1705=.0026166. 10-.0026166= 9.99738
5-card

···

-----Original Message-----
From: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com [mailto:vpF…@…com] On Behalf Of
jaydavidson118
Sent: Thursday, June 23, 2005 9:12 PM
To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Shockwave Analysis "5-card"

I finally looked at wizard of odds site, where he estimates the
expected number of hands in shockwave mode is 9.8836. This is the
flaw in the analysis below, you must subsitute 9.8836 for 10 in your
analysis, you will then get ev=99.553.