On 11/15, the Administrator posted a link to Bob Dancer's latest
CasinoGaming Column , titled "Creating Flow Charts" -
http://www.casinogaming.com/columnists/dancer/2005/1115.html.
He gives his method of playing 9/5 Super Double Bonus using a flow
chart to keep track of penalty card situations.
Here is one of his examples -
"A versus "JT"
Is there a flush penalty to the "JT"?
If no, play "JT" -- end
If yes, continue
Is the fifth card suited with the A?
If yes, is it an 8 or 9?
If yes, play AJ -- end
If no, play "JT" -- end
If no, continue
Is the fp to the "JT" a 6, and the fifth card a 7?
If yes, play A -- end
If no, continue
Is the fifth card an 8 or 9?
If yes, play A -- end
If no, play "JT" -- end"
I used the above for the following hand - Jsp/Tsp/6sp/Ah/7d.
This took me all the way through his chart to the next to last
part -
"Is the fp to the "JT" a 6, and the fifth card a 7?
If yes, play A -- end
If no, continue"
Normally in this game, the JspTsp is played rather than a lone Ace.
In this case, memorizing all of these rules,playing the Ace has an
advantage on a $1 vp machine ($5 per hand) of 00.58 cents (58
hundredths of one penny).
On a $5 vp machine ($25 per hand) the extra advantage of playing the
Ace is 2.9 cents.
Curiously, Dancer never gives the value of each penalty card
situation. I suggest that this should always be included.
If someone told you that if you drive an extra 2 1/2 miles to a
different market you will save money, would you want to know if the
savings is 58 hundredths of a penny or 58 dollars? I would.
I also believe that when penalty card situations are displayed, the
frequency of the event occurrence should be noted each time.
I.e., what if the above situation, on average, playing 800 hands per
hour on a $1 vp machine, will occur once every 6 hours? So that
after memorizing this situation you now know that every 4,800 hands
on average you will earn an extra 00.58 cents. Every twelve hours it
will earn you an extra penny plus 16 hundredths of another penny.
(There is an excellent analysis of this in Paymar's book.
Using my market analogy, if someone said that if you drive the extra
2 1/2 miles to the other market you will save money sometimes -
don't you think they need to tell you how often that "sometimes"
will be in order to evaluate?
And the "earn" is conditional upon you not being slowed down at all
by memorizing all of the above plus all of the many other penalty
card situations.I believe it is not possible to not be slowed down
by this to some extent. If you play 1 less hand per hour (799
instead of 800), what is your loss vs. the gain in penalty card
pennies?
If you make one mistake every 40 hours due to an overly complicated
strategy, what is your loss vs. the penalty card gain?
Worth it? Not for me. And not for the professional players I know.
It is not a matter of professional player vs. non-pro.
Skip Hughes correctly suggested that there is more ev in searching
for coins left in pay phones. This is true for all players.
