vpFREE2 Forums

Ruminations on the Jumbo Jackpot

#1

Today LVA reported on the recent Station Casinos "Jumbo Jackpot" hit and
posted the following info: "More than 1,500 other Boarding Pass members
who were playing at the time she hit also reaped the benefits of her big
score, receiving $79,050 ($50 each) in free slot play."

I didn't know this information was publicly reported but it does provide
an opportunity to do a back-of-the-envelope EV. If there were in fact
exactly 1,581 people playing with a Boarding Pass at the time of the
jackpot hit (79,050/50) then the EV of the Jumbo Jackpot is
($149,394/1582)+$50=$144.43. Since this jackpot climbs about $125 an
hour, on average, sitting down when it was at $149,300 would guarantee
it would hit within five hours.

I don't have the mathematical skills to go much farther than this.
Roughly, I suppose you could divide that $144.43 by five to get an
hourly EV, though we all know that the probability increases as the
jackpot gets closer to $150K. If I'm playing 10/7DB at 100.17%, my
hourly EV is only $8.50, but tack on $144.43/5 ($28.88) and that turns
10/7DB into a 100.58% play. The 10/7DB progressive at Fiesta would
range into the 101% territory.

One other thought: does 1,581 players seem low to anyone else? Spread
among nine properties, that's only 160 players per property. Of course,
if that number's off, so are my ruminations...!

···

________________________________________

Peppermillionaire
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#2

I don't have the mathematical skills to go much farther than this.
Roughly, I suppose you could divide that $144.43 by five to get an
hourly EV, though we all know that the probability increases as the
jackpot gets closer to $150K. If I'm playing 10/7DB at 100.17%, my
hourly EV is only $8.50, but tack on $144.43/5 ($28.88) and that turns
10/7DB into a 100.58% play. The 10/7DB progressive at Fiesta would
range into the 101% territory.

Those who were playing with more cards inserted (I know of at least one

who had five cards going) collected as much as $250 in free play bonus when
it hit. It hit at around 6 am. Not a very popular time for players in the
casinos.

Scot

#3

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "peppermillionaire"
<peppermillionaire@...> wrote:

Today LVA reported on the recent Station Casinos "Jumbo Jackpot" hit and
posted the following info: "More than 1,500 other Boarding Pass members
who were playing at the time she hit also reaped the benefits of her big
score, receiving $79,050 ($50 each) in free slot play."

That's interesting. 1500 was the number I came up with as well. Didn't
I post that here (LOL)? I didn't know when it got hit, I assume
between 2 and 6 am.

The Jumbo goes up I think $150/hr. Certainly no less than $120 and no
more than $150. The meter appears to be constant regardless of volume
of play.

···

__________________________________________________________________________

paladingaming.net

#4

Scott how does this technique work?
1. Do you tie up 5 machines with same card john smith I or
2. Do you tie up 5 machines with cards js1, js2, js3, js4 , js5 ?
I assume you only have to play 1 hand to activate, and leave them on - or do they time out with no play for X amount of time ?

.

···

Those who were playing with more cards inserted (I know of at least one

who had five cards going) collected as much as $250 in free play bonus when
it hit. It hit at around 6 am. Not a very popular time for players in the
casinos.

Scot

#5

you must have played within 30 seconds of the JJ hitting.

···

At 09:05 AM 8/26/2006, you wrote:

Scott how does this technique work?
1. Do you tie up 5 machines with same card john smith I or
2. Do you tie up 5 machines with cards js1, js2, js3, js4 , js5 ?
I assume you only have to play 1 hand to activate, and leave them on - or do
they time out with no play for X amount of time ?

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