--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, pesach kremen <royalflush2222@...>
wrote:
Sams Town has a few $1 10/7 DB and if you are an Emerald club
member you automatically get triple points. DB is so difficult that
even with computer practice and reading all the info about it
doubtful (except for super experts such as Bob Dancer or Jean Scott)
that one can get above 100.0%. Thus let's say that you can play it
at 100% exactly plus 0.3 slot club, offers, and comps. To me due the
volatility of the game the bankroll requirement would be enormous.
Even if we add 0.1 to account for the average freebee offers of cash
or free play based on this play, wouldn't a large bankroll still be
required?
You'd need about $78K to play the game forever (RoR = 1%), but just
$5K to play for 20 hours (RoR = 1%). That's assuming 0.3% cb and
0.1% additional incentive.
I used Dunbar's Risk Analyzer for Video Poker (duh!), and got the
return down to 100% (before cb and incentives) by entering an error
rate of $4.31 per 500 hands.
One extra tidbit. In 20 hrs of play, your chance of being more than
$5K ahead at some point during the 20 hrs is 9%. I thought that was
interesting since the chance of being $5K behind is just 1%.
But here's the killer. "NO" for this game is 1,766,000 hands. That
means that even after 3,532 hours (if 500 hands/hrs) you'd still
have a 1/6 chance of being behind. Of course, this is as much a
function of the narrow edge as the high variance. Even 9/6 JOB
played with enough incentive to make it 100.4% has an NO of 1.2
million. At 600 hands/hr, that's still 2000 hrs.
--Dunbar