george lee wrote:
Thank you, Jean, but my question was whether
one should stick to optimum play or be more
aggressive in trying to get a royal at a risk of
losing other hands.
Not intending to inappropriately nudge in, I'll note that it depends
on the format of the tourmament.
At the extreme was a recent Greektown (Detroit) tournament where
players earned unlimited entries during the month long contest. The
majority of top-10 finishers hit a royal. In a case like that, it's
quite appropriate to push for a royal. Bob Dancer advised ignoring
any hold other than one that might end in a royal (at least until you
hit one).
In others, factors to be considered are how many players will
participate, how long the sessions are, and how top heavy the prize
structure is (is your heart set on coming into big money with a top-5
win, or will you be quite satisfied with a 30th place finish). The
tournament paytable is an important consideration as well.
If you expect 80% or more of the finishing field won't hit a royal,
then hands like quads become important considerations. You can make a
rough approximation of this probability by estimating total hands
played and dividing by expected RF cycle for the game (if the standard
expectation is 1 in 40,000, you may wish to use a number like 35,000
to reflect the fact that some will play aggressively for it).
To practice and develop a strategy for the tournament you want to
modify the paytable to overweight the value of the hands that you
think will separate the winners from the losers. It's strictly a
judgemental task. Depending upon your perceptions, you may choose to
double or quadruple the values of royals and quads (or, perhaps, just
bonus quads in a bonus game). Ditto for wild royals, etc. in a wild
card game.
Use of this paytable will guide you appropriately in your tutor
practice for the tournament. A strategy generator such as vp Strategy
Master or Frugal Video Poker will allow you to print an appropriate
strategy for this modified tournament paytable.
- Harry