Please note the following:
There is nothing in this post that should be construed as a negative
personal attack, if someone ascribes that to this post they have
completely misinterpreted the post.
As in the saying "It's better to be "lucky" than "Good(Expert)" "
with the addition "It's best to be "Lucky AND "Good" to this
end "Bob" please help us separate out the luck from the skill in
your$1,000,000 winning year, I assume that was a net number.
A comprehensive example would also help to highlight the relative
merits of penalty card play and promotion tracking. I would suggest
using the $1,000,000 year as a case. How much of the $1,000,000 was
due to E.V. play versus promotions versus luck.
To break things down a little, if you play at a overall advantage of
0.5% you would nee to play $200,000,000 to generate $1,000,000 E.V.
or $547,945 a day, everyday for 365 days. If a person plays 10 hours
a day 800 hands per hour for a total of 8,000 hands, at .25 that's
$10,000 or $40,000 at $1 level or $200,000 at $5 level. A couple at
the $5 level starts to get close to $550k E.V. But remember you would
need 0.5% advantage available 365 days a year. Clearly advantage over
0.5% is required, at a high dollar denomination, 2% advantage at 0.25
level just gets you to 0.5% $1 play and 2% $1 doesn't achieve 0.5%
$1 play.
Even if you allow for a $500k very lucky night, the other $500k is
still a HUGE E.V. goal to achieve! I think it would be very
instructive for this group to hear in some detail about how this huge
E.V. goal was achieved. A summary along the lines of Casino A had 5x
points every week that allowed for 1% advantage on their $5 games.
Casino B had monthly drawings that I was able attack for a 3%
advantage on $1 machines. Casino C had a weekend promotion on $25
machines for 0.5 % advantage...