vpFREE2 Forums

Quads 3x in a row

#1

In a message dated 5/12/08 6:15:26 PM US Mountain Standard Time,
jwon7878@cs.com writes:

···

Can any one tell me the odds of hitting three sets of natural four of kinds
in a row?

ty
Joe

****
Well sure. Any quad or the same one?

If you start at the next hand for 9/6 Jacks of Better the next hand will
produce a quad every 423 hands or so. Just multiply that three times. Of course
you must be trying to maximize the overall return for ER, not three quads in
a row.

Now if the given constraint already is a quad and you are asking if the next
two hands will be quads, that is a different inquiry.

Now if you are asking how to optimize getting any three quads in the next
three hands, let it be damned about any other results, that is once again
"something completely different".<BR><BR><BR>**************<BR>Wondering what's for Dinner Tonight?
Get new twists on family favorites at AOL Food.<BR>
(http://food.aol.com/dinner-tonight?NCID=aolfod00030000000001)</HTML>

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#2

You would be raising to the 3rd power, not multiplying by three.

Because they are independent events, the odds of this happening n times in a
row is (odds of one occurrence)^n.

(423)^3 = 75,686,967:1, or about .00000132%.

···

On 5/12/08, GRAYTLEEGRAY@aol.com <GRAYTLEEGRAY@aol.com> wrote:

  In a message dated 5/12/08 6:15:26 PM US Mountain Standard Time,
jwon7878@cs.com <jwon7878%40cs.com> writes:

> Can any one tell me the odds of hitting three sets of natural four of
kinds
> in a row?
>
>
> ty
> Joe
>
>
>

****
Well sure. Any quad or the same one?

If you start at the next hand for 9/6 Jacks of Better the next hand will
produce a quad every 423 hands or so. Just multiply that three times. Of
course
you must be trying to maximize the overall return for ER, not three quads
in
a row.

Now if the given constraint already is a quad and you are asking if the
next
two hands will be quads, that is a different inquiry.

Now if you are asking how to optimize getting any three quads in the next
three hands, let it be damned about any other results, that is once again
"something completely different".<BR><BR><BR>**************<BR>Wondering
what's for Dinner Tonight?
Get new twists on family favorites at AOL Food.<BR>
(http://food.aol.com/dinner-tonight?NCID=aolfod00030000000001)</HTML>

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

#3

GRAYTLEEGRAY wrote:

> If you start at the next hand for 9/6 Jacks of Better the next hand
> will produce a quad every 423 hands or so. Just multiply that three
> times.

Jason Pawloski wrote:

You would be raising to the 3rd power, not multiplying by three.

Jason, I'm sure that was an inadvertent slip -- you're both saying the
same thing. (been there, done that :wink:

GTLG wrote "multiply <423> three times", not to multiply 423 by 3.

- H.

#4

Oh you're right, I switched the words he wrote in my head or something.
Multiply that three times is correct too.

···

On 5/13/08, Harry Porter <harry.porter@verizon.net> wrote:

  GRAYTLEEGRAY wrote:
> > If you start at the next hand for 9/6 Jacks of Better the next hand
> > will produce a quad every 423 hands or so. Just multiply that three
> > times.

Jason Pawloski wrote:
> You would be raising to the 3rd power, not multiplying by three.

Jason, I'm sure that was an inadvertent slip -- you're both saying the
same thing. (been there, done that :wink:

GTLG wrote "multiply <423> three times", not to multiply 423 by 3.

- H.

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