--- In FREEvpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "robsinger1111"
<robsinger1111@...> wrote:
What's "non-Vegas locals" mean?
I get point multipliers all the time--mostly from MGM properties--
but
I don't bother with them because piling up points is not why I'm
there, and it requires standing in slot club lines with a bunch of
misguided anticipative droolers.
Robbie does it again. Chalk up another idiotic statement. So, I guess
I should have just ignored the $7000 in CB/BB I've received already
this year. LMAO.
My friend Dick: Are you losing your touch---or are you still
shaking
off the effects of my VERY STINGING post recently.
Projection #1: Robbie clearly has been stung by the way his posts are
so easily interpreted.
Or perhaps you're
having trouble (chuckle chuckle!) putting the administrator's
scolding and admonishment BEHIND you!! That last reply of
yours....nothing but one big "I KNOW YOU ARE!" Did you give up?
We can see that Robbie feels "scolded and admonished" by the
continued interpretation of his projections. Just as it should be.
That's very un-nerd like! I've never seen you look so down. BTW---
Remember to show up April 4th at midnight with the specific proof I
requested (and you SAID you could prove it....) showing me you
absolutely won money this year at the machines without the fluff.
As I stated ALL along ... You are more than welcome to view my tax
returns before I seal the envelope and mail them. I just started
doing my taxes so I should have them done soon. However, you will
have to come to my place to see them. It's only 3-4 miles from
Southpoint. I will post when they are complete.
I'm
counting on it. You chicken out now and you ain't gonna look that
good in a few weeks. In fact, what's that? You're looking kind of
pale right now.....
I expect Robbie will "chicken out" just like he's always done. This
projection is telling us to expect that to happen.
Oh well, enough with your depression. Here's something to cheer you
up this week. I ripped AP's a new one again this week, and my
publisher wants me to come up with more based on all the positive
comments they received since Tues. It's also for Melly so he can
wallow in his misery even more up in homo/Obama heaven...and the
pschyo-babbler will get a ton out of this too!
Too many projections here. Chuckle, chuckle. However, I think "wallow
in misery" tells us exactly where Robbie has been the past few days.
---------------------------------------------------------
Relax ..Mathematics hasn't changed at all.
(March 25, 2008 8:00 AM)
Great! A chance to point out more of Robbie's amazing BS.
The Undeniable Truth by Rob Singer |
I've heard it come my way hundreds of times over the years: "Rob
Singer must have re-written the math books, because what he says he
does and how he says he does it just doesn't add up."
LMAO. What a great start to the BS.
So what we have here are people who say they know what they
themselves are doing, but have no idea what it is I do which, of
course, is clearly evident. Yet they continue to criticize.
We know EXACTLY what you're doing. You PROJECT it in all your posts.
Let's take a look at what's going on here. I win approximately 85
percent of all my sessions and I've played 330 in about 10 years
time. I employ five separate Play Strategies (single-play/multi-
strike/five-play/Romp-Thru-Town, and an advanced version of RTT
called ARTT). I play the latter two of them most of the time these
days.
Yes, when I lose it's usually a large amount, but I've won a net
profit of just over $855,000 since I began playing them.
wink, wink.
Almost all of my play is on what the video poker "experts" call
negative expectation (-EV) games, i.e., theoretically less than 100
percent payback even when played perfectly and into infinity.
What
the critics don't understand is how EV games can turn a profit,
because on paper and into the theoretical "long-term" (whatever
that
may be) they can't get it to add up.
No theory involved. Simple mathematics. Like I've said before, my
simulation shows a 3 in 10,000 chance of achieving these results.
Possible ... yes. But certainly not an approach that any sane person
would take. Having won EVERY year since I moved out Las Vegas using
mathematically proven techniques I think I'll stick with them as
should anyone who REALLY wants to win.
To further confuse the issue, while others label the games I play
as
negative ones, they play the same ones. Only this time, they claim
they're positive for them.
You're the one who claims to play negative games. If they are not
then that is your problem for claiming they are negative. I played a
game today that returns less than 100% by itself but with 1% CB is
well over 100% overall. As I've said many times. Cash is cash. I
don't care if it comes out on a TITO or is handed to me by a slot
club employee. My bank seems to treat them the same.
How's that done? Because the expert-play crowd chooses to toss in
all
the slot club benefits in order to "create" something they believe
is
positive. Not so with me. What cash I win from the machines is the
only measure of my success, as it should be for everyone. All the
other fluff is welcome, but meaningless.
This is almost too funny for words. Robbie, do you really believe
anyone cares where the cash comes from? I know you can't help making
a fool out of yourself, but do you have to make it so easy?
Understandable? Certainly. Remember, I spent over six years as an
optimal video poker player. At the time, I too was blinded by what
was going on. Optimal play dictates making very few if any errors
in
holds, and that just doesn't happen. In fact, play even 30 minutes
straight and your mistakes start to climb. So what do you think
happens as these players sit and pound away at their machines for
hour after hour after hour?
They make a few mistakes. However, if they are playing with a
reasonably good edge they will still win. Good players should be able
to keep the error cost down to .2% or less. If they can't then they
are not good players and should practice more.
We all heard about your 6 years of drinking and chasing skirts while
claiming to be an AP. I think the real reason for your failure is
pretty obvious to anyone who has drank a little too much at least
once in their lives.
At the end of the day, optimal play is simply only a state of mind
rather than a reality to those with an open mind. And its theory is
based on beating the casinos at their own game the math. How many
local and Strip resorts have you seen close their doors because
of "optimal play"?
More importantly is how many 100% games have been removed over the
last few years. In fact, many 99+% games are now being downgraded.
So, why to you think the casinos have taken this action? Easy,
players are getting better and better. The math works perfectly and
Robbie's ridiculous claims that math doesn't work makes it pretty
obvious he must be up to something.
Better yet, how many actual & verifiable optimal video poker player
barrings have you read about? Further, have you seen a reduction
or
increase in slot club promotions over the years?
I think you get the point by now. The casinos live by the math,
while
optimal players live and die by the math. Most of them die a slow
death. I knew that and completely understood that back when I was
losing all the time as an expert math player. Yet, I just didn't
want
it to be so. Funny how being so compelled to play all the time does
that.
ROTFLAMO. Maybe you should have tried drinking a little less and
concentrating on the task at hand.
Luckily, however, I woke up, and in 1997 my personally developed
single-play strategy that encompassed the essence of what
successful
gambling is really all about, was put to the test in the casinos.
Proper bankroll, iron clad discipline, a structured pre-set/goal-
oriented game plan before going in, strong determination to see it
all through
and what others don't want to believe a solid (but
not
complete) baseline in the math.
This is where the other shoe drops. Cons always start out by
dismissing the proven techniques (aka the establishment). How else
can Robbie's snake oil be better for you. It's so obvious a cave man
can see through it.
Although I've had thousands of players come to me for advice on
what
it takes to do well in video poker, there remains those who just
can't accept it as being so. One recent detractor said "Rob wants
us
to believe he somehow changes a EV game to a +EV game, and
mathematically that can't be done".
Where are all these "thousands" of 885K-naires now? Where is just
one? Robbie only claims to play a few hours each year but we'd expect
others making these huge sums of money to be playing a lot. So where
are they? Nowhere to be found.
My response? He's absolutely right I change nothing. What I do,
however, is measure my game EV not by the theory of it all before
playing, but against how I actually did on the game once my session
is over. After all, someone who sits at a 98 or 102 percent game is
only there for so long. They're never going to even come to within
a
fraction of a percent of the play necessary for those figures to
become valid for their session.
More smoke and mirrors. No one will come close at any one session,
but over time they will approach the payback of the games they play
at the accuracy they utilize. It's all in the math.
So is 98 percent truly a "negative" game? Hardly, and logically,
there can be no other conclusion. Similarly, about 5 percent of my
holds are what I call "special plays that deviate from optimal
strategy." This is done in order to take maximum advantage of those
opportunities that present themselves and to achieve good fortune
from multi-option deals, which underwent in-depth risk analysis for
short-term play years ago.
This is more snake oil. Now, first of all Robbie tells us the math
doesn't work and then tries to impress everyone with "in-depth risk
analysis" which is simply a form of applied mathematics. So, which
Robbie should we believe, the one who claims math doesn't work or the
one that claims HIS special math works. I think all the cave men out
there should be rolling on the floor about this time.
Critics say "Those special plays only make the game more negative."
Yeah, that's because it's true.
Yet what they fail to accept is that anything can happen at any
time,
and I assure you, it does. The math play may be the only play to
make
if you were to see that particular deal a million times in a
session,
but once or twice or even a dozen times today is reality. And,
reality requires one be able to adjust. That's exactly what my play
strategies have accomplished.
More of the con. This is akin to saying that all of the statistical
techniques utilized around the world don't work. Tooooooo funny. The
problem with Robbie's "once or twice" is that over his 8 years of
play he's only going to hit those special plays at the same rate as
anyone else. They will cost him money and anyone else who buys into
this con.
So in summary, does consistent winning at video poker over the
years
require only 100 percent games? Never, and that's only a myth
created
by those who want a reason to validate the fact that they play far
more than they should. Are we lost if we don't play every hand
perfectly? Ha! You don't want to play every hand perfectly.
If you want to win then, you do. There's no way around the math for
anyone wanting to take the BEST approach to playing VP. If someone
simply wants to "hope" for the best then just about any technique
will work as well as Robbie's techniques.
And what about all those slot club and marketing extras? Are they
really needed in order to manufacture a sure-fire winner? Let's say
this: Advantage players do. I don't.
Who ya gonna call?
Good question. Robbie just stated that I shouldn't have collected
that $7000 in CB/BB as they are "not really needed". Really? Who do
you think is going to fall for this kind of BS?