As you know, the game's optimal return INCLUDES 10X with a dealt
royal
(it's baked in); in fact, if you NEVER hit 10X with a dealt royal,
you
will NOT get the optimal return; in fact, your return is a less.
While that is true, you should still remember that even a hit that
large is an incredibly small percentage of the total payout. Using
the approximate numbers available on the wizard of odds site:
multiplier cycle - 15
10 X came 17 times in 440 multipliers
dealt royal cycle 649740
we get a dealt 10X royal cycle at roughly 252,252,000 hands. Each
dealt 10X royal has a payout of 6666 2/3 credits per credit wagered,
so the dealt 10X royal accounts for .00264% of the total payout.
Of course, that is just the value of the 10X dealt royal and doesn't
include all the other dealt royals with multipliers that you expect
to have received. If we include those using the figures of a 15 hand
cycle for a multiplier and a 4.05 average multiplier, we get a dealt,
multiplied royal every 9,746,100 hands with an average payout of 2700
credits per credit wagered. This translates to dealt, multiplied
royals accounting for .0277% of the total payout.
Now, I'm not arguing with your opinion that the slight increase in ER
that STP provides is not worth the greater risk. I think that is an
assessment that would and should differ from person to person. I am
just pointing out that the statement:
As you know, the game's optimal return INCLUDES 10X with a dealt
royal
(it's baked in); in fact, if you NEVER hit 10X with a dealt royal,
you
will NOT get the optimal return; in fact, your return is a less.
is refering to a much smaller part of the total return than the
average reader would intuit. In fact the error rate of the average
reader likely costs them significantly more of the total return than
they would lose by never hitting a dealt royal with any multiplier.
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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "chungsterama" <chungsty@...> wrote: