full pay pick'em risk numbers: (with perfect play)
pick'em +0.25% cashback= .999720
pick'em +0.5% cashback= .999348
pick'em +0.75% cashback= .998947
risk of loss=(risk number)^bets
for pick'em +0.25% cashback risk=
bets risk of loss
100 97%
500 87%
1000 76%
1500 66%
2000 57%
3000 43%
5000 25%
8000 11%
10000 6%
16000 1%
(example: at 5 coin quarters, 100 bets=$125, risk of loss=97%, to
reduce risk of loss to 11% requires 8000 bets or $10,000)