jackal228 wrote:
I just the JoB Simple Strategy on wizard of odds, and have one
question
"3 to a straight flush"
Does that mean I am to play ANY straight flush draw inside and out?
or just outside draws like 789 suited?
I played the $1 10 coin Max machine tonight. Played aprox 2800 hands
and Earned 2800 reward points(multiplied by 7x for their promotion
today).
I lost $1400 playing though. I am assuming this is a very possible
swing when playing $10 a hand? I think I should step down and play a
$1 5 coin max machine for the time being.
I hit 4 of a kind 3 times, so I figured that i was running well.
Any feedback would be great.
In the "WoO" simple strategy, "3 to a straight flush" means just that.
Of course, it is a simple strategy - any strong strategy will
differentiate between the number of high cards and how man gaps are in
the hold. WoO provides Intermediate and Optimal strategies on the
website that are much more suitable for someone putting through
serious coin (such as in your session).
Advancing through the strategies as you become familiar with the game
is advisable. Look to consistently nail the simpler strategies with
only the most infrequent mistake before advancing to the next.
Ultimately, Jacks or Better is one of the simplest games to learn and
it behooves a player to quickly get up to speed with a strategy such
as WoO's Optimal one (possibly setting aside the footnoted exception
plays, which can be overlooked without appreciable penalty ... still,
even those are pretty cut and dried -- why not go for the gusto in
this game, once you have the rest of the strategy cleanly under your
belt 
ยทยทยท
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Concerning your result, expressed in betting units, you lost 140 bets
on 2800 hands: I wouldn't be inclined to say that you "were running
well". As you may know, playing 9/6 JB, you expect a quad once in
every 423 hands ... the expectation on your play was for 6+ quads.
You managed only half that, with a $750 hit to your results.
However, that amount of variance (on the quad and other hands) isn't
unusual over 4-6 hours of moderately paced play. In fact, you stood a
40% chance of suffering a loss of $1400 or more on your session.
By contrast, had you played out the $28K coin-in single line, your
risk of a $1400+ loss would drop to 33%. (Risk values from Dunbar's
VP Risk Analyzer)
My advice to you is to hone your game, taking advantage of one of the
many computer tutors -- such as VP for Winners, Frugal VP, or Wolf VP,
while sticking to lower denoms ($.25/$.50). Reserve your big bankroll
play for when you know you're on top of your game and not needlessly
giving up a slice of it to the house with each play.
- Harry