brumar_lv wrote:
Chapter 12 recap:
His strategy for VP and VSlots is based on "The Flaw". It was
originally developed by a former partner of Royers named Tom Caldwell
(who writes under the name Terry Callahan). The system was developed
in the 1990's, but has been refined by Royer for the newer
machines. "The Flaw" is based on Royer's claim that virtually all
RNG's in VP/VS machines have a flaw. Casinos know this, but so far
don't want to spend the money to fix it.
If such a flaw existed:
1. The casinos could not fix it. Every program chip is registered with Gaming Conrol. The chips can not be modified by the casino in Nevada.
2. The casinos would demand that the manufacturers fix it. There are many machine manufacturers, and the casinos would not buy machines that had a flaw that made them beatable.
3. Gaming Control would mandate that the manufacturers fix it, and would thoroughly test the fix.
4. People like Royer also see patterns in craps and roulette, but the casinos aren't worried about anyone taking advantage of that.
Royers, et al, see patterns in the game results that they claim we can take advantage of. Everyone sees apparent patterns in random events. Have you ever spent some time lying on the grass in the summer looking up at the clouds and finding patterns? Look, there's Snoopy, and over there is a dragon chasing a rabbit! Those thousand monkeys pounding randomly on typewriters will never write a Shakespear sonnet, but they will frequently spell out a correct word, and occasionally several words in sequence. If Royer happened to look over that monkey's shoulder at that moment, he would say that there was a pattern to it.
When I first started writing about video poker, I thought I saw patterns. I even wrote about them as if we could take advantage of them. It didn't take long before I relegated such stories to my little booklet "Video Poker Anomalies and Anecdotes" which carries the disclaimer that it is NOT about winning play.
Seeing patterns is usually a case of selective memory -- that is, we tend to remember the unusual and overlook the commonplace.
I hope that no one here will waste their money on "The Flaw."
Dan
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Dan Paymar
Author of best selling book, "Video Poker - Optimum Play"
Editor/Publisher of VP newsletter "Video Poker Times"
Developer of VP analysis/trainer software "Optimum Video Poker"
Visit my web site at www.OptimumPlay.com
"Chance favors the prepared mind." -- Louis Pasteur