My friend held two 2’s in ultimate x triple play and got four of a kind on all lines. Could someone please tell me the odds of this happening? Thanks
Need math person to figure odds
The snarky answer is: 100%, unless you think your friend is lying!
To get the answer you seek, I cheated a little bit. I analyzed a hand with a pair of deuces using WinPoker, and discovered that one will get all four in 45 out of 16,215 chances. That would be for single line. For triple play, one cubes the result (after converting to a decimal by dividing 16215 into 45).
The result is that should happen (in the long run!) roughly one time in 46.8 million future attempts.,___
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On Tue, Jan 1, 2019 at 5:47 PM Deb dl…@…net [vpFREE] <vpF…@…com> wrote:
My friend held two 2’s in ultimate x triple play and got four of a kind on all lines. Could someone please tell me the odds of this happening? Thanks
Deb wrote:
My friend held two 2’s in ultimate x triple play and got four of a kind on all lines. Could someone please tell me the odds of this happening? Thanks
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There are 16,215 ways to pick 3 of the remaining 47 cards. You need both 2’s along with any of the other 45 cards, so the probability of getting 4 of a kind is 45/16,215, or equivalently, 3/1081. To get this 3 times in a row, the probability is (3/1081)^3, or about 0.000 000 021 374. This is about 1 in 46,785,720.
Jeff
I was sitting next to her and saw it. I did take a picture and attached it to my first inquiry. But thought maybe we weren’t supposed to send emails with attachments. Thanks guys for answering.
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On Jan 1, 2019, at 8:05 PM, Martin Veneroso slic…@…com [vpFREE] <vpF…@…com> wrote:
On Tue, Jan 1, 2019 at 5:47 PM Deb dl…@…net [vpFREE] <vpF…@…com> wrote:
My friend held two 2’s in ultimate x triple play and got four of a kind on all lines. Could someone please tell me the odds of this happening? Thanks
The snarky answer is: 100%, unless you think your friend is lying!
To get the answer you seek, I cheated a little bit. I analyzed a hand with a pair of deuces using WinPoker, and discovered that one will get all four in 45 out of 16,215 chances. That would be for single line. For triple play, one cubes the result (after converting to a decimal by dividing 16215 into 45).
The result is that should happen (in the long run!) roughly one time in 46.8 million future attempts.,___