There appears to be no way to compute the return of this game using
WinPoker or FrugalVP. First, there is the "Free Ride" card, with an
unknown probability. Second, the payoff multiples (2X, 4X, 8x)
are outside the scope of VP software. Does anyone know of a way to
compute the return?
It's interesting the "Help" instructions say "Each hand is dealt from
a separate 52 card deck", yet the Free Ride feature means there are
actually 53 different possible deal possibilities.
brumar_lv wrote:
There appears to be no way to compute the return of this game using
WinPoker or FrugalVP. First, there is the "Free Ride" card, with an
unknown probability. Second, the payoff multiples (2X, 4X, 8x)
are outside the scope of VP software. Does anyone know of a way to
compute the return?
Sure. I computed it last year using WinPoker and posted the results here on vpFREE. According to the figure provided by Larry De Mar, who is the fellow who designed the game, my figure is .000016% from the best figure that was computed by them. I'm sure that this was due to rounding of numbers by my calculator and by WinPoker. I was tempted to go through it again with FrugalVP, which has either one or two additional digits of precision, if I remember correctly (too lazy to check now), but I never got around to it. Here is my paper: http://velek.com/ms
I've tried to make it understandable, but I'm not always great at doing that. There's also a lot of extra stuff in there, too. Hopefully the columns won't appear too much out of alignment.
Please let me know if you spot any errors. Thanks.
Bill Velek