In a message dated 8/18/2003 7:34:41 PM Central Daylight Time,
erchalb@cantv.net writes:
Assume, for example, you are playing triple play 10/7 DB and
you are counting the hands you are playing. This works too if you
just estimate the hands you have played from your known speed of
play, or from the points shown on the card reader. You have not
gotten a quad for four or five hundred games. You think a quad is
due. Sometimes the appear when "due", sometimes they do not. You
decide to take a chance, and switch to a lower return game, such as
9/6 DDB, for the chance the quad that is "due" and might materialize,
is one of those high paying ones in that game. Does this work? I find
sometimes it does, and sometimes it doesn't.
I don't think switching from a positive ER game with high volatility to a
significantly negative ER game with volatility through the roof makes much sense
under any circumstance that I can think of. I have had quads come right after
the other and played for hours without catching one. They come when they
come and what I think, unfortunately, doesn't seem to have much to do with it.
Chandler
"...there is always a well-known solution to every human problem--neat,
plausible, and wrong." H. L. Mencken
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