vpFREE2 Forums

missed quads in PE

VP Pappy,

Here is the math behind your current streak ( now at 74)

P(make quads from dealt trips) =?1/24 or 4.2105%

P( not make quads ) = 1 - P(make quads) = 95.8333%

P ( no quads in n hands ) = .95833 ** n .( .95833 times itself n times)

0 for 74 = .95833 ^ 74 = 4.29%

0 for 80 = 3.32%
0 for 90 = 2.17%
0 for 100 = 1.42%

What you need to recall is those posts where you hit 3 quads in one day or 2 in 15 minutes.? If you average all your quads ( not just the times you are dealt trips) I'll bet you are pretty close to the expected value.

The math doesn't make the results more palatable but it does make them more understandable.

ยทยทยท

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