I wrote:
As improbable as it may seem, the ROR of a positive play for 5c
10-play with any given bankroll is significantly smaller than
single line $.25 play because of the dispersion of risk
krallison416 replied:
Amazing. Well, it sure doesn't feel that way <sad smile>.
That's not unusual.
At 500 plays/hr. on the 10-play, you'd put through 40% more coin-in
each hour than playing $.25 single line @ 700 hands/hr (adjust for
your actual rate of play).
Consequently, given the higher coin-in on the 10-play, you're looking
at greater hourly loss potential. And, since you're likely to put
through more coin-in with 10-play on any single trip, your trip loss
potential is greater as well.
However, when you look at your win/loss variance of both plays,
expressed as a % of a fixed coin-in amount, the nickle 10-play will
come in with smaller swings. Assuming "positive" plays under
comparable conditions (same game/cb), you're exposed to less bankroll
risk on the 10-play.
It's understood that because you're travelling at a higher "velocity"
(wager per bet) on the 10-play you're white-knuckling it a bit
relative to the single-line play, but the truth is that you're in a
safer vehicle.
Bottom line, quarter play will preserve your bankroll on a trip by
trip basis -- but it'll be lower total coin-in that's involved. You
can accomplish the same by simply cutting back your 10-play coin-in.
And, for any given fixed trip stake, the 10-play is likely to give you
the greater coin-in (though hardly greater time at the machine).
- Harry