pesach kremen wrote:
I would like to clear some confusion on a statement here. The
probablility of winning varies. On the same number of spots the odds
are the same everywhere. The difference is what you get paid for
catching the spots. That's where an astute player that figures out
the percentages (not that difficult if you know how to work with
factorials) will do better as he or she will play lower house
advantage tickets, or know when a progressive turns positive, or a
promotion is profitable. Keno can be profitable due tournaments,
promotions, progressives, and comps.
Harry Potter responded:
Of course, the OP was referring to skill in picking the "right
numbers" based upon historical patterns, not in selecting the best
play opportunities (though, no doubt, he is an advocate of that).
As far as "advantage keno" opportunities, I imagine they might exist.
But I expect that occurs about as frequently as an attractive
"Blazing 7's" progressive play. The house edge takes an ox of a
promotion to beat.
The ER's range from 75% (and below) at LVH to 93% at Suncoast. I'm
hard pressed to believe that any but the most extraordinary
progressive values would make these "positive", much less as
attractive as available vp plays in the casino. - Harry
I think both of you understand my point, but, in a way, you miss it.
I don't play keno because of any mathematical advantage attributable
to the paytable or promotions. Obviously, a casino paying 4700 to 1
for 8 out of 9 is preferable to one paying 4500. In the long run, the
ER of either is still nowhere near 90%.
My comments instead suggested that there are machine-specific
patterns that are repetitive, though your patience will be tested.
The other day I had 7/7 playing the same numbers only about 10
minutes apart. In general, you'll have to be a lot more patient than
that.
I'm not selling any books or systems or even giving any number
selection advice. As I said, it is machine-specific. But, for those
of you willing to put in the time, keno can be well worth your while,
and you will soon be playing video poker as I do - as a secondary
game, both winning-wise and comp-wise.