vpFREE2 Forums

it's raining royals

<<Given a large enough sample you can predict almost any pattern to be
in it - if I deal 5 cards a million times, I will deal a royal -
right? Or should I say 2 million to be sure, or maybe 3 mil, etc.>>

You will deal (counting the redraw) a royal every 40k hands or so
average. Please understand what you are talking about before you post
here.
  
<<Sure you are not going to be there for a million rolls/flips/deals -
but you might be there for that slice of a million where 28 'heads'
occur courtesy of the RNG.>>

Hundreds of us are here in Las Vegas 365 days a year for the "million
rolls/flips.deals" Here's an autoplay sample using Winpoker for the
99.72% Deuces game.
JT

1.2 million hands of 99.72% NSU Deuces

total average99.27%

Month 1Royal Flush1 97.13%
Deuces10
W Royal205
5 of a Kind323

Month 2Royal Flush4 101.19%
Deuces20
W Royal199
5 of a Kind308

Month 3Royal Flush0 99.31%
Deuces19
W Royal204
5 of a Kind317

Month 4Royal Flush1 99.53%
Deuces21
W Royal199
5 of a Kind305

Month 5Royal Flush1 98.91%
Deuces19
W Royal203
5 of a Kind301

Month 6Royal Flush2 98.94%
Deuces17
W Royal177
5 of a Kind312

Month 7Royal Flush3 99.84%
Deuces18
W Royal205
5 of a Kind293

Month 8Royal Flush4 100.22%
Deuces15
W Royal188
5 of a Kind314

Month 9Royal Flush5 100.44%
Deuces15
W Royal190
5 of a Kind303

Month 10Royal Flush1 98.25%
Deuces15
W Royal203
5 of a Kind328

Month 11Royal Flush2 98.79%
Deuces14
W Royal181
5 of a Kind322

Month 12Royal Flush1 98.76%
Deuces21
W Royal195
5 of a Kind313

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

···

On Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:20:55 -0000 "dayrelton" <tiggerrr@msn.com> writes:

Given a large enough sample you can predict almost any pattern to be
in it - if I deal 5 cards a million times, I will deal a royal -
right? Or should I say 2 million to be sure, or maybe 3 mil, etc.

JT said:

You will deal (counting the redraw) a royal every 40k hands or so
average. Please understand what you are talking about before you
post here.

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, jtpage552@j... wrote:

On Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:20:55 -0000 "dayrelton" <tiggerrr@m...> writes:

-----------------------------
okay JT - that was uncalled for.

If you had been following the discussion, you would know what was
going on before chiming in and being rude. So it is you who did not
know what you were talking about [no flame intended, just the facts].

First of all the discussion has nothing to do with redraws - just
patterns [...if I deal a million...].

A royal is just a pattern and given enough enough samples you can
predict it will occur - that's all that was being said.

The millions was just overkill to make the point - a sure bet a royal
will occur - or any other short pattern for that matter.

Sorry Toonces - he made me do it...............