vpFREE2 Forums

I just got my first dealt royal!

#1

What kelso and the others forgot is the chance of being dealt a 5 card hand that you discard. Again using Bayes Therom (one of my favorites), Probability(Redraw Royal) = Probability(Royal given you discard your hand) x Probability(Being dealt a hand that you discard). That's the catch. Your initial 5 cards must consist of 5 cards all of rank 10 or lower which are all of different ranks, no flush, no straight, no 4 card flush, no 4 card open ended straight and no 3 card straight flush. That is why a redraw royal is so much more unlikely than a dealt royal. People like Bob Dancer are much more likely than myself to get a redraw Royal due to the number of hands played. I play mostly single line and Bob and others play a lot of multi-line. Anyway congratulations to all that have redrawn a royal, I don't believe I ever will.

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Sent from my iPhone

#2

Just one comment regarding this statement. If one discards a ten
(correct play) would not that reduce the odds even more?

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On Wed, Oct 15, 2014 at 10:23 AM, Nordo123@aol.com [vpFREE] wrote:

What kelso and the others forgot is the chance of being dealt a 5 card
hand that you discard. Again using Bayes Therom (one of my favorites),
Probability(Redraw Royal) = Probability(Royal given you discard your
hand) x Probability(Being dealt a hand that you discard). That's the
catch. Your initial 5 cards must consist of 5 cards all of rank 10 or
lower which are all of different ranks, no flush, no straight, no 4 card
flush, no 4 card open ended straight and no 3 card straight flush. That
is why a redraw royal is so much more unlikely than a dealt royal.
People like Bob Dancer are much more likely than myself to get a redraw
Royal due to the number of hands played. I play mostly single line and
Bob and others play a lot of multi-line. Anyway congratulations to all
that have redrawn a royal, I don't believe I ever will.

Sent from my iPhone

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

#3

I once hit a sequential royal on the redraw. Was told at the time it was basically my lotto win - odds wise. Gee, a whole $1000 instead of millions!

Jigger

"All I ask is a chance to prove that money can't make me happy."

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________________________________
From: "Nordo123@aol.com [vpFREE]" <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>
To: "vpFREE@yahoogroups.com" <vpFREE@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Wednesday, October 15, 2014 7:23 AM
Subject: RE: [vpFREE] Re: I just got my first dealt royal!

What kelso and the others forgot is the chance of being dealt a 5 card hand that you discard. Again using Bayes Therom (one of my favorites), Probability(Redraw Royal) = Probability(Royal given you discard your hand) x Probability(Being dealt a hand that you discard). That's the catch. Your initial 5 cards must consist of 5 cards all of rank 10 or lower which are all of different ranks, no flush, no straight, no 4 card flush, no 4 card open ended straight and no 3 card straight flush. That is why a redraw royal is so much more unlikely than a dealt royal. People like Bob Dancer are much more likely than myself to get a redraw Royal due to the number of hands played. I play mostly single line and Bob and others play a lot of multi-line. Anyway congratulations to all that have redrawn a royal, I don't believe I ever will.

Sent from my iPhone

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Posted by: nordo123@aol.com
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#4

"All I ask is a chance to prove that money can't make me happy." For 50% of the population, money has the power to kill. Vp and other games in casinos are entertainment purposes only unless you put in the time and effort to try to make a living at it or at least break even.

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#5

Gilrus wrote: "unless you put in the time and effort to try to make a living at it or at least break even"

Would add discipline. Just because you put in "the time and effort" doesn't mean you won't do something stupid.

Used to be: "It's so easy" (Skip Hughes)
  
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