In a message dated 5/6/07 10:34:55 AM US Mountain Standard Time,
maggie2194@comcast.net writes:
···
Harry Wrote:
>>Don't cut Michael short in this case ... he tends to write with the
precision of an actuary (being one helps, I supposeThe full context of this statistic wasn't cited, but I imagine it was
assumes a specific game (such as 9/6 Jacks). <<The exact answer absolutely is different for each video poker game for the
reasons I stated. Not only would you have to name the game you're referring
to, but also you'd have to indicate the technique you used to determine the
game's strategy (perfect play or not) before you could analyze the odds of
receiving a royal drawing 5 cards from the 47 cards left.Precise figures on being dealt any specific hand from the original 52 card
deck are,of course, the same for every game. Once you introduce a new
variable--game strategy--the ranks do not have a uniform probability of appearing as
one of the 47 remaining cards for an accurate 5-card draw decision.Also, I'm not criticizing anybody--as you say, the full context of this
statistic wasn't cited.
****
Here is the Wizard's look at FPDW:
http://wizardofodds.com/videopoker/appendix5.html
It is true the precision is only good to the sixth digit right of the
decimal. Probably the most interesting info on this page is how many cards you hold
in general, based on percentage, to get a royal or deuces.
My slide rule is only good to two significant digits and a guess on the third.
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