Here's my suggestion: Comp yourself.
For example, let's look at NSUD +1% cash.
Using:
http://wizardofodds.com/videopoker/analyzer/CindyProg.html
for NSUD +1% cash, the 10%ror bankroll is 3684 bets.
So, set aside 3684 bets as your gambling account, and since you're
comping yourself, add 1% to it after each trip, 1% means 1 bet per 100
hands. Then, if you play perfectly, your chances of not starting a
losing streak of 3684 bets is 90%. The 1% comp yourself is the cost of
playing the game in addition to setting aside the initial 3684 bet
bankroll. Any cash the casino gives you can replace some of your 1%
cost, in addition any savings, for example if instead of eating at
Krusty Burger you get a free buffet pass, then the money you would
have spent at Krusty can be redirected to your gambling account. Any
amount over 3684 in your gambling account can be skimmed for other
purposes as long as you are comfortable with a 10% risk of losing the
3684, alternately the account can be allowed to grow which will reduce
your risk of losing it all.
The bottom line is that EV is just the average cost. Your risk
involves more than the average cost.
For some of us, VP is a form of wonderful entertainment. Yes, we do
play to
win, but, fortunately, we do not have to make a living at it. Many
of us play VP
at the machines that are available on the LV strip. We acknowledge
that the
EV of just about all of them is less than one. But, we look to play
the best of
them, like 9/6 JOB, NSUD, etc.
One interesting way that my wife and I "fool" ourselves into
thinking that we
are playing a "positive" game, or, alternatively, trying to
determine what the
cost of our entertainment might be, my wife and I, when playing
NSUD, for
instance, will keep track of the number of wild royals we have
during a trip.
Then, at the end of the trip, we multiply the number of wild royals
by 10 coins
($2.50 if we are playing quarters). That amount is what we "pay"
for having
played NSUD instead of FPDW (which usually does not exist on the
strip...yes, we know that it does at the Tropicana and the
Frontier), noting that
the EV of NSUD is 99.7283%, but would be 100.1114% if the WR paid 135
coins, instead of 125 coins.
We often do the same for JOB, multiplying the number of "4 of a
kind" that we
get by 10 coins, noting that the EV of JOB is 99.5439%, but would be
100.0164% if the "4 of a kind" paid 135 coins, instead of 125 coins.
Oftentimes our comp'ed meals and room may total more that the "cost"
of our
playing under the above rules. Most of the times they don't, but,
invariably,
the "cost" of our entertainment, so computed, is surprisingly small.
.....bl
P.S. An interesting question would be, what strategy should we
play? NSUD
paying 125 for the WR or 135 for the WR? I have not looked at it
with Strategy
···
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "bornloser1537" <bornloser1537@y...> wrote:
Master of Frugal, but it would be interesting to see what the strategy
differences would be.