Very good article. I like this quotation from there,
"The point is, the payback percentage can fluctuate," he said. "For
instance, a machine with a 94.832 percent payback has a 90 percent
confidence level that the actual payback will be between 94.25 and
95.42 percent after 10 million pulls. However, after only 1,000 pulls
the payback percent can be as low as 36.53 or as high as 153.14.
Likewise, after 100,000 pulls the return can fluctuate between 89
percent and 100.66 percent.
"Obviously, to compare machines by their theoretical, long term
payback percentages is both risky and inaccurate," he
continued. "Payback percentage is at best a volatile guide, and not
something that should be taken as an absolute."
I believe VP machines have sort of this behavior too. I know, people
will tell me the shuffle has to be random by law, and so forth and so
on. But have you not played a VP machine for four hours that pays
like mad and you leave it with quite a few hundreds profit or more?
It is equivalent to a payback of something like 150% in a few
thousands of pulls.
I had a big laugh once when a lady who does not play much VP, only
half an hour or an hour on a yearly trip to Las Vegas, was making
inquiries about the best machines. Considering the above, it did not
matter at all if she played FPDW or 6/5 JB, really.
E
"Vinny vituperated Venetian's VP's vicious EV". Anonymous.
···
--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "vp_FREE" <vpFREE@C...> wrote:
GT Keno columnist says "odds of hitting 7 out of 7 spots is
actually less than the odds of hitting a royal flush, but
the payoff (7000-1) is substantially higher then the royal's
award (800-1)."
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