I'm quite sure this is not correct. The value of the Deuce alone, on
average, is less than 1.0000 in the hands which also contain a straight4. I
worked it out meticulously, years ago.
It was a long time ago, but based upon a 5-coin bet, I think the Deuce
alone was worth 4.994 coins. But as you say, it has almost no impact on long
term expectation.
Brian
···
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In a message dated 4/10/2010 7:53:19 A.M. Pacific Daylight Time,
Dan@OptimumPlay.com writes:
It's a very close call, but a one-deuce an open ended straight 4 has
an EV of 1.0000, and the deuce alone has an average EV of about
1.0057. The decision has very little effect on the long-term expected
return because it occurs only about once in 233 plays.
Dan
Not a mistake. On average, an open ended straight4 with a Deuce is very
slightly better than the Deuce alone.Brian
========================================
In a message dated 4/9/2010 6:49:10 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,
<mailto:Dan%40OptimumPlay.com>Dan@OptimumPlay.com writes:A customer just pointed out an error on my Not So Ugly Deuces cue
card. The next-to-last line is "Straight 4" just above "Deuce alone."
Obviously, you should never draw to a straight when you a deuce, so
if you have one of those cards please cross out that line (a black
Sharpie pen will mark on the laminate).I can't believe that I made such a stupid error, and I apologize to
everyone who bought one of those cards.The surprising thing is that no one pointed out this error for five years.
--
Dan Paymar
Author of best selling book, "Video Poker - Optimum Play"
Developer of VP analysis/trainer software "Optimum Video Poker"
Visit my web site at www.OptimumPlay.com
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