If you wanted to move up in denomination is it better to move to multiplay
or move up in the same game to minimize the bankroll swings. In other words
if you are playing 10/7 DB at $0.25 level is it better to go to 3 or 5
multiplay at 9/7 DB or 10/7 DB single line at the $1 level.
Jay
JHMuhs wrote:
If you wanted to move up in denomination is it better to move to
multiplay or move up in the same game to minimize the bankroll
swings.
In other words if you are playing 10/7 DB at $0.25 level is it better
to go to 3 or 5 multiplay at 9/7 DB or 10/7 DB single line at the $1
level.
In terms of your first portion of your question, moving to multiplay
is perhaps the more favorable choice. Multiplay offers the
opportunity to substantially increase your coin-in without incurring
nearly the swings of comparable increased denomination.
When you move up in denomination, the potential bankroll swing
(win/loss) for a given number of lines played goes up proportionally
to increase in denomination, as common sense would only dictate.
When you move to multiplay, the resulting increase in bankroll swing
isn't a consequence of denomination (that's unchanged for each line),
but of the dependency of each line on the deal. Get a good initial
deal and there's a strong likelihood that most/all of the resulting
lines will pay. The opposite is true for a poor deal. Thus, there's
a greater likelihood of good or bad runs.
Concerning the actual impact of multiplay, I can't give you hard math,
but some very decent rules of thumb. 3-play will play similarly to
1-play at twice the denomination ($.25 3-play akin to $.50 single).
10-play will have a little more volatility than 4x the denomination
($.25 10-play a little above $1 single line). These aren't precise,
but certainly strong enough to provide a decent expectation of play.
------
Concerning your specific play, certainly you should pretty much know
what to expect in moving from $.25 to $1 10/7 DB. To be honest, I've
never heard of anyone making such a leap in a single move. $.25 DB
play can be reasonably comfortable, $1 takes a strong stomach and
bankroll. (I hit $1 10/7 DB just about a year ago. Having suffered a
RF drought of almost 4 cycles, and poor performance otherwise, I've
suffered a rather unfortunately $20K+ drain - sooner or later you
expect to take your lumps in vp :).
The idea of moving from $.25 10/7 to multiline 9/7 takes you from the
ranks of the "advantage" players to that of recreational players who
feel they derive sufficient value in comps and other benefits to
justify the negative expected drain of the paytable. If you push to
5-play 9/7 and a moderate pace of 700 hph, you're looking at 3500
lines per hour. You have an expectation of hitting 37 FH/hr. which,
at a 5 coin drain, is a $46/hr. drain. It's hard to compensate for
that by any means.
You don't provide other specifics of your play or your goals. I will
say that if you're comtemplating around $20K/day coin-in,
opportunities on the Strip can be quite strong for the "recreational"
player. By far, the preferred plays are JB and NSUD, which with
relatively strong cashback and incentives can often provide 100% play
opportunities.
- Harry