Casino Royale Kings over Queens Full House

[Bret_Weeks]

This is what I figured on my own, but it isn't correct. All full houses are not hit equally due to the cards you hold before the draw. Kings over queens should hit more often than sevens over threes and such.

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--- On Tue, 11/17/09, dunbar_dra <h_dunbar@hotmail.com> wrote:
It's not going to be worth much per pull or per hour for any game, with or without strategy deviation. I'll do the 8/5 bonus poker, you can do the others if you're still interested.

In 8/5 bonus poker, you get a full house 1.151% of the time. There are 13*12 = 156 ways to get a full house. (13 kinds of trips * 12 remaining ways to get the pair) So with regular strategy you will get Kings over Queens 1.151%/156 = 0.0074% of the time. That's once every 13,548 hands.

--Dunbar

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[Dunbar]

Good point! But I suspect a significant majority of full houses occur when drawing to trips or a pair. For those draws there's not much diff between the frequency of various full houses that you might end up with. (Yes, the low pair gets tossed occasionally, but not enough to matter for this kind of calc.)

I'd be surprised if my $$/hand estimate is off by more than 25%.

--Dunbar

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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Bret Weeks <bretweeks79@...> wrote:

This is what I figured on my own, but it isn't correct. All full houses are not hit equally due to the cards you hold before the draw. Kings over queens should hit more often than sevens over threes and such.

--- On Tue, 11/17/09, dunbar_dra <h_dunbar@...> wrote:
It's not going to be worth much per pull or per hour for any game, with or without strategy deviation. I'll do the 8/5 bonus poker, you can do the others if you're still interested.

In 8/5 bonus poker, you get a full house 1.151% of the time. There are 13*12 = 156 ways to get a full house. (13 kinds of trips * 12 remaining ways to get the pair) So with regular strategy you will get Kings over Queens 1.151%/156 = 0.0074% of the time. That's once every 13,548 hands.

--Dunbar

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]