vpFREE2 Forums

Calculation of Risk of Loss

#1

In a message dated 5/16/07 5:47:27 PM US Mountain Standard Time,
dabesq@yahoo.com writes:

···

Hello,

I am considering some short term play above my normal limits to qualify
for some promotions, but I would like some help calculating the range
of my exposure to loss. For example, playing 9/6 JoB at $1, is there a
calculator that can tell me the range of possible outcomes for a given
number of hands? Say I play 200 hands, what does the distribution of
possible net results look like?

Thanks!

***
Look out! Several years ago I stepped it up to do a promo...a check cashing
thing. The promo added a one time 200 coin bonus for any quad up to $200.
My choices were in dollars, 9/6 Jacks or a Bonus 7/5 with a three-way
progressive. I had a time sensitive coupon good for 24 hours.

I learned my lesson. No quad in 1200 hands and a $600 loss. My harshest
"Sigma" lesson ever. MY pychological bankroll and my real-time bankroll were
gone without fulfilling the coupon requirements..

Careful stepping-up.<BR><BR><BR>**************************************<BR> See what's free at
http://www.aol.com.</HTML>

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

#2

Thanks so much to all of you for the great responses. This board is
such a great resource. I just wish that I had the chance to get to Las
Vegas more often/easily to fully learn and exercise the opportunities
for advange play. Best, Danton

#3

Did the same thing for a flat screen 27in HD TV. It was a longer play
but was a downhill slide all the way. I had the bankroll and I got the
TV. The problem was the bank was gone by time I got the TV. Worst 2
day play I ever had, with the exception of a few memorable progressive
plays. However, I had a progressive quarter win of $6043 and caught
the royal in first few plays at 6:30 AM. Those good wins are memorable
too.

I like progs and I'll play for 5 times CB or other cash promos, but I
don't like to play for the comp gift.

Cheers...Jeep
.
..

Look out! Several years ago I stepped it up to do a promo...a check

cashing

thing. The promo added a one time 200 coin bonus for any quad up

to $200.

My choices were in dollars, 9/6 Jacks or a Bonus 7/5 with a three-

way

progressive. I had a time sensitive coupon good for 24 hours.

I learned my lesson. No quad in 1200 hands and a $600 loss. My

harshest

"Sigma" lesson ever. MY pychological bankroll and my real-time

bankroll were

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, GRAYTLEEGRAY@... wrote:

gone without fulfilling the coupon requirements..

Careful stepping-up.<BR><