Look at it this way! If you hold the AT and you get the 3 intermediate cards in the right place, you will be estatic, if you only hold the A and the other 3 come up in order, oh well?
Assuming you will get a royal (conditional probability) there are 3X2X1 way for those 3 cards to fit in the middle thus 1/6 of the time that you get a royal with the A -10 on the outside will it be sequential (remember this is only if you get the royal) as from the get go the chance of a sequential in either direction is 1/60 (assuming again you get the royal) but you all know what assume means -FTWD (for those who don't) assume = ass u me -This is one case where the psychological play might be better than the mathematical play? I know when there are runners at the corners (1st and 3rd) I go for the hit (i.e., A-10 either direction on the outside) I play for it.
If I have misse danything please let me know. Thanks
Sorry, failed to complete the thought.
So, following Mickey's example, the average Royal would be 4000 X 5
+ 50,000
= 70,000 / 6 = 11,666.
Certainly, holding the AT in the proper position is correct over
just the A,
penalty cards notwithstanding. Probably, it's better than anything
less than
an inside straight with three high cards.
When I wanted to determine the required strategy changes for the
sequential royals at Circus Circus (aces and eights) I used Wolf
Video Poker (WVP). You can download it and try it for free at
wolfvideopoker.com .
Dick
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