vpFREE2 Forums

Bonus Deuces Wild Prog RFs/variance

Bill Velek wrote:

Randy C wrote:

I suggest that you could use a progressive strategy equal to the ER of
whatever game you would be able to play when the RF hits assuming you have
other positive ER games available to you.

That sounds like a static strategy (one that doesn't change to adapt to
the ever increasing jackpot value).

That's correct. (Except that, as your opportunity cost fluctuates, your
strategy should change to match).

While you will certainly end with a constant long term ER -- assuming the
game is positive -- you will not be realizing the full potential of the
progressive because you will hit fewer Royals than you competition;

That's not necessarily correct. You'll hit fewer royals, but you'll have
less drain. And the royals you do hit will be larger, on average, than
they'd be if you were following a more aggressive strategy. Which is a
better strategy will depend on how fast the meter goes up, what share of the
jackpot-eligible machines you control, and how aggressively the uncontrolled
machines are being played.

This calculation is pursued in full detail primarily by teams, but Randy C's
synopsis -- it depends on the opportunity cost of the alternative plays, and
the lost opportunity that hitting the current jackpot represents -- is a
good summary.

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--
Randy Hudson

That's not necessarily correct. You'll hit fewer royals, but

you'll have

less drain. And the royals you do hit will be larger, on average,

than

they'd be if you were following a more aggressive strategy. Which

is a

better strategy will depend on how fast the meter goes up, what

share of the

jackpot-eligible machines you control, and how aggressively the

uncontrolled

machines are being played.

This calculation is pursued in full detail primarily by teams.<<<

You've brought up some very subtle ideas into how to choose a playing
strategy of a progressive. Can you provide any details as to how it
can be done? For example, how to calculate (or estimate) "drain".

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, <ime@p...> wrote: