vpFREE2 Forums

Bizarre Hand Sequences

Some people are intrigued by the "what are the chances of that" type
of occurance. Others could not care less. This is for the former
group.

Last week, at the South Point, I was plodding through an uneventful
session of NSU deuces, when I was dealt a pair of eights. I drew
three cards, two of which were eights, to complete a natural quad -
not a particularly great hand in deuces.

On the very next hand, I was dealt a pair of fours. Again, I drew
three cards, two of which were fours, completing my second natural
quad in a row.

On the next hand, I was again dealt a pair - this time deuces. Can
you see where this is going, and are you ready for it? As I pressed
the deal/draw button, I was thinking it could not possibly happen
again - but, believe it or not, it did, and in came the other two
deuces!

Quads in three consecutive hands, each time drawing to a pair! Does
anyone want to try and figure out the odds of that? And, if you want
to make it really improbable, add in the twist that the rank of the
second quad was exactly half of the first, and the third exactly half
of the second.

Neil
Neil

How about this one. In 1997 I was playing two 25 cent upright All American/250 machines in the Harrah's Northstar boat upper deck in Kansas City. On the left machine I was dealt KQ109J of spades in that order for a dealt SF which I held. As the hand pay buzzer went off I looked at my right machine and it had dealt me KQ109J of spades in the same order. I held it and had two simultaneous and identical hand pays. The casino took a picture they were so amazed. The point is that there are an infinity of ridiculously improbable events out there waiting to happen. They are not really improbable, though, unless you predict them in advance of their occurrence.

neilemb <nembree@rogers.com> wrote: Some people are intrigued by the "what are the chances of that" type
of occurance. Others could not care less. This is for the former
group.

Last week, at the South Point, I was plodding through an uneventful
session of NSU deuces, when I was dealt a pair of eights. I drew
three cards, two of which were eights, to complete a natural quad -
not a particularly great hand in deuces.

On the very next hand, I was dealt a pair of fours. Again, I drew
three cards, two of which were fours, completing my second natural
quad in a row.

On the next hand, I was again dealt a pair - this time deuces. Can
you see where this is going, and are you ready for it? As I pressed
the deal/draw button, I was thinking it could not possibly happen
again - but, believe it or not, it did, and in came the other two
deuces!

Quads in three consecutive hands, each time drawing to a pair! Does
anyone want to try and figure out the odds of that? And, if you want
to make it really improbable, add in the twist that the rank of the
second quad was exactly half of the first, and the third exactly half
of the second.

Neil
Neil

···

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[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

Very rough order of magnitude, I'd say it's approximately 1 in 50
million for any 3 quads from pairs, 1 in 4 billion to have a
half-half-half sequence (by comparison, the odds of hitting
back-to-back royals is about 1 in 2 billion).

JBQ

···

On Nov 22, 2007 4:30 PM, neilemb <nembree@rogers.com> wrote:

Quads in three consecutive hands, each time drawing to a pair! Does
anyone want to try and figure out the odds of that? And, if you want
to make it really improbable, add in the twist that the rank of the
second quad was exactly half of the first, and the third exactly half
of the second.

Congrats on the lucky spurt. I have never had 3 natural quads in a row
on a single line machine. I have only had back-to-back quads twice on
a single line machine.

My very rough math tells me that back-to-back is about one in 180,000
and three in a row would be about one in 75 million.

Slowpoke

···

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "neilemb" <nembree@...> wrote:

Quads in three consecutive hands, each time drawing to a pair! Does

anyone want to try and figure out the odds of that?
Neil

The chances of getting any particular straight flush dealt in the same order
and suit on two machines is 8,663,200 squared, or roughly a crapload cubed =
17,326,400 to 1.

TC

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Actually, that comes out to 75,051,034,240,000 to 1.

TC

···

On Nov 24, 2007 2:08 PM, Tabby Cat <tabbycat@wachafo.com> wrote:

The chances of getting any particular straight flush dealt in the same
order and suit on two machines is 8,663,200 squared, or roughly a crapload
cubed = 17,326,400 to 1.

TC

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]