I wrote ...
Ford,
Thanks for the reply. 85% return over 1000 hands is much more
likely than 80% return for 4000 hands. I ran winpoker 4000 hand
sessions and the worst I got was about 90% and the best was about
110%. Nothing even close to 80%. The reason I thought there were
very few hands above trips is that the higher hands take longer ( on
pickem ) for the credits to ring up and it's hard to lose that much
money if you hit the big hands.
Run your sims for 4000 hands and see what you get.
Ford replies .....
John:
You need to be open-minded if you are seeking wisdom. I also ran the
analysis on frugal vp (please see prior post), and I saw periods
where the return over a significant number of hands was under 80%,
somewhere in the 70%.
Ford,
How am I being closed minded? My numbers didn't match your numbers. The lower the number of hands, the easier it is to have a big percentage difference, especially in pick 'em. Pick 'em doesn't have a push hand. How many hands are a significant number? I used 4000, because that was the initial question.
4000 hands is a big enough chunk to where I would expect one of the runs to at least approach the lower limit. Mine we all between 90% and 110%. I'll run some more and put together a summary. I'll leave this issue until then
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