Scot Krause wrote:
I don't think that we're suggesting that the degree of difficulty is
the key.
I think you're mostly on target here, Scot, but I wouldn't cross out
the difficulty factor all together.
If we look at where it might be offered at the quarter level, it's
reasonable to assume any casino with FPDW might be willing to
inventory AA given the similar returns.
One barrier is that there's a limited subset of mfrs whose machines
feature it. I've been told that Bally Gaming doesn't hold proprietary
ownership in the game design (i.e. it's been seen on other machine
makes), but their multigames appear to have the lion's share of the
installed base.
I've never seen it on an IGT machine and IGT has a strong foothold in
most casinos. Adding the game to a casino floor might simply require
a significant investment.
On the other hand, many casinos feature Bally machines -- particularly
if they offer pick'em (not sure I've seen full pay pick'em and AA on
the same machine though). A key factor in a casino's addition of the
game is going to be player demand.
And here's the rub. Deuces, with 4 wild cards, is a very appealing
game to the average player. The play is downright entertaining. And
the decision making is far more common sense than AA (hold suited {9
10 K} over a pair of 9's? ... right.}
If I were looking for a game to tout to a novice player there's no
question I'd push Deuces. And demand is all about the uneducated
masses, not the elite minority who know's it's stuff.
There's no doubt that there are a handful of popular vp writers who
could start beating the drums to create an appetite for AA. But they
won't in good conscience. The average player is much better served by
FPDW than AA, even if AA has a strong return that can absorb a decent
degree of playing error cost and still prove favorable over most other
games.
Bottom line, AA is a bit of an orphan.
For myself, I'd it under circumstances that would impair net return by
1%. Frankly, I really get my rocks off on the strategy. To play it
with top accuracy requires an attentiveness and a brain with all
neurons firing to an extent unparalleled by any other game. It's a
game I'll never tire of.
- Harry