Hey Coach,
I'm the guy who wrote some time back to say (tongue planted firmly in cheek) that you are the only one I know who "never, ever, loses". I just came from your site and the report on the Easter Miracle trip. You started off by trying to explain that you do have losing sessions but try to keep them to a minimum. Having written that you then proceed to relate getting aces with a kicker more times in a day than I've had in the past ten years, how your wife is able to order up a royal with a whimsical command to the machine (complete with photo - attractive lady, by the way), getting dealt aces with kicker and getting 5 of a kind on Joker.
Yep.............. now I've taken my tongue out of my cheek, and firmly believe my previous statement. Only question I have now is why in the world aren't you and Hedy playing $100. machines? Probably afraid to force too many houses out of business, eh? Then what would you do for walking around money?
rodinsocal
AC Trip Report
Well, we've got a lot of mathematically-inclined people here... so we could probably take a stab at it... but we'd need to know what Coach's coin-in was for the weekend. Without that it's a shot in the dark.
We don't know how many 4OAKs Coach got, because he uses the arbitrary phrase "hit a quad here and there". But we do know that he scored Aces without a kicker at least once, 2s with a kicker three times, Aces with a kicker twice, and a Royal. We know there are at least three sets of "regular" quads, so for the purpose of estimating, let's stay conservative and say he hit only three. But wait... one of those Aces with kicker was dealt, as was one of the 2s with kicker. Hmm...
Wizard of Odds gives us the following per-hand analysis:
4OAK(nk) avg 1:613
AAAA(nk) avg 1:5,761
2222(k) avg 1:6,983
AAAA(k) avg 1:16,236
Royal avg 1:40,799
Dealt 2222(k) avg 1:54,145
Dealt AAAA(k) avg 1:216,580
Since Coach is 7* and from the frequency of his trip reports appears to go about once every two weeks, that's 26 trips per year. Since he plays video poker, that's a minimum $1m coin-in requirement, or about $40k/trip. The trip report lists $0.50 and $2.00 machines I believe, so let's average them to $1.25 x 5 credits = $6.25/spin. 40000/6.25 = 6,400 hands.
I'm going to ignore the 4OAK number since we don't know how many he really got. That means in 6,400 hands, the odds of hitting those numbers would be:
Qty 1 AAAA(nk) 1.11:1
Qty 2 2222(k) 1:2.17
Qty 1 AAAA(k) 1:2.56
Qty 1 Royal 1:6.25
Qty 1 Dealt 2222(k) 1:8.33
Qty 1 Dealt AAAA(k) 1:33.33
Of course all of these numbers could be totally incorrect based on coin-in, strategy changes, denominations played, etc.
Someone more mathematically-inclined than me should be able to figure out the overall odds of this outcome given the number of hands estimated played.
Yes, I'm bored, and no, these numbers may not even be accurate.
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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Rod Braswell <vpking05@...> wrote:
I'm the guy who wrote some time back to say (tongue planted firmly
in cheek) that you are the only one I know who "never, ever, loses".
Yep.............. now I've taken my tongue out of my cheek, and
firmly believe my previous statement.
some_bitch_already_took_sumorez wrote:
> I'm the guy who wrote some time back to say (tongue planted firmly
> in cheek) that you are the only one I know who "never, ever, loses".
> Yep.............. now I've taken my tongue out of my cheek, and
> firmly believe my previous statement.Well, we've got a lot of mathematically-inclined people here... so we
could probably take a stab at it... but we'd need to know what
Coach's coin-in was for the weekend. Without that it's a shot in the
dark.
Sorry, but anyone inclined to dissect Coach V's trip reports is missing the forest for the trees ...
The beauty of Coach's tales in simply in the telling (and the emotional charge he and Hedy continue to get out of most every good hit 
It doesn't take much to infer that Coach & Hedy see their share of hard runs ... he just doesn't choose to dwell on them. Frankly, I find that pretty refreshing!
Coach takes us on a fun ride most every run through the casino (and omits the minutia, for his accountant to sort through later ;).
- H.
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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, Rod Braswell <vpking05@> wrote:
Coach is there almost every week.
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--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "some_bitch_already_took_sumorez" <will@...> wrote:
Since Coach is 7* and from the frequency of his trip reports appears to go about once every two weeks, that's 26 trips per year.