Message: 7
···
Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 00:48:39 -0000
From: "JShort_DE" <jshort@mindspring.com>
Subject: Re: On Re-draw, has anybody hit RF on all lines of 3-Play or 5-Play?
JZ wrote ....
Let's take the most likely to occur scenario, dealt 4 to the royal and fill on all 3 lines.
p( fill in royal on 3 lines) = 1/47 1/47 * 1/47 = 1 in 103823.
<snip>
Jshort_DE wrote .....
Not to be a pain - but, while the probability of a bottom line Royal would be 1/47 ... wouldn't the
probability on the 2nd and 3rd line be 1/48 (since you are holding four and haven't been dealt a 5th)?
My reply:
Jeff, when you are dealt a hand in 3 play, those same 5 cards arre dealt to each of the 3 hands. Each of the 3 hands have the same 47 unseen cards. The only difference in the 3 hands is that it is 3 different draws from the same 47 cards.
If you are dealt 10d Jd Qd Kd 4c in triple play and hold 10d Jd Qd Kd , that 4c can't show up on the second or third line.